SFSCF

15:00Sun 25 Oct

SPL

SC Faetano vs SP La Fiorita

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Campionato Sammarinese, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. SC Faetano are 16th on 2 points after 5 games, level on points with San Marino Academy. A win would take them above San Marino Academy. SP La Fiorita are 6th on 9 points after 5 games, 4 points behind Cosmos, 1 point clear of Fiorentino.

Form. SC Faetano have won one, drawn two and lost six of their last nine league games, 0.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D D L L. SP La Fiorita have won two, drawn three and lost none of their last five league games, 1.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D D D.

The numbers. SC Faetano score 0.3 and concede 2.2 a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet and seven games without a goal. SC Faetano average 7.3 shots (1.7 on target), 1.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game. SP La Fiorita score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game over their last five, with two clean sheets. SP La Fiorita average 9.7 shots (2.8 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.7 cards a game.

Head to head. SP La Fiorita have won all of the last ten meetings. Nine of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, SP La Fiorita won four. The last time they met, on 28 Feb 2026, it finished SC Faetano 1-3 SP La Fiorita.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 94% against the records' 62%.

The read. No firm call: SP La Fiorita are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make SP La Fiorita the likelier winners; SP La Fiorita are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SP La Fiorita; the meetings favour SP La Fiorita. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%. Nine of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: SC Faetano 1-2 SP La Fiorita (9% chance).

The agreed story. SP La Fiorita or the draw, an open game.

The league run. SC Faetano: no win in their last three league games (L D D L L). SP La Fiorita: unbeaten in their last five league games (W W D D D).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SCF 8 of 9 (89%) · SPL 5 of 6 (83%)92.6%

SC Faetano: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SP La Fiorita: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 6 of 6 · SC Faetano: only games against sides at SP La Fiorita's level · SP La Fiorita: only games against sides at SC Faetano's level

SP LA FIORITA GOALS

SP La Fiorita Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPL 5 of 6 (83%) · SCF 8 of 9 (89%)79.1%

SP La Fiorita scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · SC Faetano conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 6 of 6 · SP La Fiorita: only games against sides at SC Faetano's level · SC Faetano: only games against sides at SP La Fiorita's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (SP La Fiorita are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (SP La Fiorita are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.3%

SC Faetano goals →

SP La Fiorita goals ↓

0-08%

1-07%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.5%

5-00.1%

0-110%

1-113%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.7%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.5%

1-50.6%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

SC FAETANOLWLLLLLDDL0.50 PPG

SP LA FIORITALWLLDDDDWW1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SC FAETANO HOMExSP LA FIORITA AWAY

0.40SCORED A GAME1.302.30CONCEDED A GAME1.1010%CLEAN SHEETS20%80%FAILED TO SCORE20%1.00CORNERS A GAME3.172.33CARDS A GAME1.67

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

SP LA FIORITA TO SCORE

–

136 OF 144

PRICE NOT KEPT

The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.

DRAW OR SP LA FIORITA (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

PRICE NOT KEPT

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.40POINTS A GAME1.80-2.80GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.80–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.85LEAGUE GAMES5

SP La Fiorita: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

SP LA FIORITA 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

PRICE NOT KEPT

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

91%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

SC FAETANO OR DRAW

41%

NO · 80/85

SP LA FIORITA OR DRAW

89%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SC FAETANOxSP LA FIORITA

5GAMES50.20SCORED A GAME1.403.00CONCEDED A GAME0.603.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

SC FAETANO 0 · 0%DRAW 0SP LA FIORITA 10 · 100%

6 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

10 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

9 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

5 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2022-12-03SC Faetano 0 – 4 SP La Fiorita

2023-04-02SC Faetano 0 – 3 SP La Fiorita

2023-09-24SC Faetano 1 – 4 SP La Fiorita

2024-01-23SC Faetano 1 – 2 SP La Fiorita

2024-09-22SC Faetano 1 – 7 SP La Fiorita

2025-01-26SC Faetano 0 – 4 SP La Fiorita

2025-05-04SC Faetano 1 – 2 SP La Fiorita

2025-05-07SC Faetano 0 – 2 SP La Fiorita

TRENDS

SC Faetano have scored in 30% of their games.

SP La Fiorita have scored in 70% of their games.

SC Faetano kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

SP La Fiorita kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards