SFSUN

14:00Sun 25 Oct

ETO

Sunrise FC vs Etoile de Lest

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Sunrise FC are 8th on 6 points after 5 games, level on points with Bugesera, 1 point clear of Gasogi United. A win would take them above Bugesera. Etoile de Lest are 16th on 2 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Musanze, 1 point clear of Al Merreikh. A win would take them above Musanze.

Form. Sunrise FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D D. Etoile de Lest have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L L.

The numbers. Sunrise FC score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Sunrise FC average 8.8 shots (3.0 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Etoile de Lest score 0.7 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Etoile de Lest average 6.8 shots (1.5 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Sunrise FC have won one, drawn one and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 20 Jan 2024, it finished Sunrise FC 2-2 Etoile de Lest.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Sunrise FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Etoile de Lest or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Sunrise FC 0-0 Etoile de Lest (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SUN 10 of 10 (100%) · ETO 10 of 10 (100%)100%

Sunrise FC: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Etoile de Lest: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Sunrise FC: only games against sides at Etoile de Lest's level · Etoile de Lest: only games against sides at Sunrise FC's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SUN 10 of 10 (100%) · ETO 10 of 10 (100%)100%

Sunrise FC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Etoile de Lest: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Sunrise FC: only games against sides at Etoile de Lest's level · Etoile de Lest: only games against sides at Sunrise FC's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SUN 7 of 10 (70%) · ETO 10 of 10 (100%)85%

Sunrise FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Etoile de Lest: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Sunrise FC: only games against sides at Etoile de Lest's level · Etoile de Lest: only games against sides at Sunrise FC's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SUN 5 of 10 (50%) · ETO 7 of 10 (70%)60%

Sunrise FC: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Etoile de Lest: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Sunrise FC: only games against sides at Etoile de Lest's level · Etoile de Lest: only games against sides at Sunrise FC's level

Left off the list: Sunrise FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Etoile de Lest or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–0 14.5%

Sunrise FC goals →

Etoile de Lest goals ↓

0-015%

1-011%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-114%

1-114%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.4%

5-10.1%

0-28%

1-27%

2-23%

3-21.0%

4-20.2%

5-20.0%

0-33%

1-33%

2-31%

3-30.4%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-40.8%

1-40.7%

2-40.3%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

SUNRISE FCLLWLWDDWDL1.20 PPG

ETOILE DE LESTWLWWWLLDLD1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SUNRISE FC HOMExETOILE DE LEST AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME0.701.60CONCEDED A GAME1.0020%CLEAN SHEETS40%40%FAILED TO SCORE50%5.60CORNERS A GAME6.252.20CARDS A GAME1.75

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

SUNRISE FC 1 · 50%DRAW 1ETOILE DE LEST 0 · 0%

2023-08-26Sunrise FC 1 – 0 Etoile de Lest

2024-01-20Sunrise FC 2 – 2 Etoile de Lest

TRENDS

Sunrise FC have scored in 50% of their games.

Etoile de Lest have scored in 60% of their games.

Sunrise FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Etoile de Lest kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards