Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Geodis Park, Nashville. The referee is Pierre Luce Lauziere.
What's at stake. Nashville SC are 1st on 70 points after 31 games, 15 points clear of New England Revolution. Philadelphia Union are 6th on 46 points after 31 games, 1 point behind Charlotte, 4 points clear of Orlando City SC. A win would take them above Charlotte.
Team news. Nashville SC are without O. Presthus (lower-body injury), F. Camara (lower-body injury), O. Presthus (lower-body injury), F. Camara (lower-body injury). Philadelphia Union are without J. Bueno (hamstring injury), B. Damiani (yellow cards), M. Iloski (muscle injury), C. Sullivan (ankle injury), J. Bueno (hamstring injury), B. Damiani (yellow cards). M. Iloski is their top scorer.
Form. Nashville SC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. In this competition Nashville SC have gone W D W W W W. Philadelphia Union have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W. In this competition Philadelphia Union have gone L D W W W W.
The numbers. Nashville SC score 2.3 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. Nashville SC average 15.2 shots (6.8 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Philadelphia Union score 3.1 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Philadelphia Union average 19.0 shots (6.8 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Nashville SC have won three, drawn three and lost three. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Nashville SC won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 2 May 2026, it finished Nashville SC 0-0 Philadelphia Union: Nashville SC had 8 shots to 16, 54% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Philadelphia Union's record still gives them 42% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Nashville SC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Nashville SC the likelier winners. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 78% on the records (Nashville SC: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10; Philadelphia Union: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Nashville SC or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (Nashville SC are a clear winner, no Unders); Philadelphia Union Under 1.5 goals (Philadelphia Union's own games don't back it (1 of 10)). Predicted score: Nashville SC 2-1 Philadelphia Union (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Nashville SC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAS 9 of 10 (90%) · PHI 10 of 10 (100%)96%
Nashville SC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Philadelphia Union: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 6 · Nashville SC: only games against sides at Philadelphia Union's level · Philadelphia Union: only games against sides at Nashville SC's level
Nashville SC or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.25
NAS 8 of 10 (80%) · PHI 9 of 10 (90%)89.9%
Nashville SC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Philadelphia Union: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · Nashville SC: only games against sides at Philadelphia Union's level · Philadelphia Union: only games against sides at Nashville SC's level
Nashville SC or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.13
NAS 9 of 10 (90%) · PHI 7 of 10 (70%)88.3%
Nashville SC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Philadelphia Union: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Nashville SC: only games against sides at Philadelphia Union's level · Philadelphia Union: only games against sides at Nashville SC's level
Nashville SC (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.41
NAS 6 of 7 (86%) · PHI 1 of 9 (11%)83.3%
Nashville SC won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Philadelphia Union lost 1 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 48% · H2H 3 of 5 · Nashville SC: only games against sides at Philadelphia Union's level · Philadelphia Union: only games against sides at Nashville SC's level · won 4, refunded 0, lost 4
Nashville SC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.38
NAS 5 of 5 (100%) · PHI 9 of 10 (90%)69%
Nashville SC scored first 5 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Philadelphia Union trailed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Nashville SC or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.18
NAS 5 of 5 (100%) · PHI 10 of 10 (100%)69%
Nashville SC scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Philadelphia Union trailed or failed to win in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Nashville SC to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.87
NAS 6 of 10 (60%) · PHI 1 of 10 (10%)68.7%
Nashville SC won 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Philadelphia Union lost 1 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 35% · H2H 3 of 6 · Nashville SC: only games against sides at Philadelphia Union's level · Philadelphia Union: only games against sides at Nashville SC's level
Nashville SC Win & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
2.05
NAS 6 of 10 (60%) · PHI 1 of 10 (10%)54.8%
Nashville SC: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Philadelphia Union: the bet landed in 1 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 35% · H2H 2 of 6 · Nashville SC: only games against sides at Philadelphia Union's level · Philadelphia Union: only games against sides at Nashville SC's level
Nashville SC or draw and over 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.98
NAS 5 of 10 (50%) · PHI 2 of 10 (20%)54.8%
Nashville SC: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Philadelphia Union: the bet landed in 2 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 35% · H2H 2 of 6 · Nashville SC: only games against sides at Philadelphia Union's level · Philadelphia Union: only games against sides at Nashville SC's level
1X2 - 2UP: Nashville SCLEANPAGE ONLY
1.71
NAS 4 of 5 (80%) · PHI 6 of 10 (60%)53.3%
Nashville SC scored first 5 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 4 · led by 2 or won in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Philadelphia Union trailed by 2 or lost in 2 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.18
NAS 9 of 10 (90%) · PHI 10 of 10 (100%)89.1%
Nashville SC: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Philadelphia Union: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 4 of 6 · Nashville SC: only games against sides at Philadelphia Union's level · Philadelphia Union: only games against sides at Nashville SC's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.56
NAS 6 of 10 (60%) · PHI 9 of 10 (90%)64.5%
Nashville SC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Philadelphia Union: over 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Nashville SC: only games against sides at Philadelphia Union's level · Philadelphia Union: only games against sides at Nashville SC's level
NASHVILLE SC GOALS
Nashville SC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.14
NAS 9 of 10 (90%) · PHI 7 of 10 (70%)90.9%
Nashville SC scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Philadelphia Union conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Nashville SC: only games against sides at Philadelphia Union's level · Philadelphia Union: only games against sides at Nashville SC's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5BACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.18
NAS 8 of 10 (80%) · PHI 10 of 10 (100%)88.3%
Nashville SC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Philadelphia Union: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Nashville SC: only games against sides at Philadelphia Union's level · Philadelphia Union: only games against sides at Nashville SC's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.28
NAS 8 of 10 (80%) · PHI 9 of 10 (90%)80.4%
Nashville SC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Philadelphia Union: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Nashville SC: only games against sides at Philadelphia Union's level · Philadelphia Union: only games against sides at Nashville SC's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.64
NAS 7 of 10 (70%) · PHI 7 of 10 (70%)69.2%
Nashville SC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Philadelphia Union: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Nashville SC: only games against sides at Philadelphia Union's level · Philadelphia Union: only games against sides at Nashville SC's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsIN CODES
1.16
NAS 4 of 8 (50%) · PHI 8 of 8 (100%)75%
Nashville SC's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Philadelphia Union's games: over 2.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Nashville SC: only games against sides at Philadelphia Union's level · Philadelphia Union: only games against sides at Nashville SC's level
Left off the list: Nashville SC or Draw & Over 1.5 (the numbers (59%) and the records (46%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (Nashville SC are a clear winner - no Unders); Philadelphia Union Under 1.5 goals (Philadelphia Union's own games don't back it (1 of 10)); Nashville SC Over 1.5 goals (Philadelphia Union's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (Nashville SC are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.6%
Nashville SC goals →
Philadelphia Union goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-08%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
NASHVILLE SCWDLDWWWWDW2.10 PPG
PHILADELPHIA UNIONWWWWWWWWDL2.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NASHVILLE SC HOMExPHILADELPHIA UNION AWAY
2.30SCORED A GAME3.100.60CONCEDED A GAME1.2060%CLEAN SHEETS30%16%FAILED TO SCORE16%5.38CORNERS A GAME5.501.12CARDS A GAME2.002.40xG2.421.06xG AGAINST1.11
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
NASHVILLE SC TO SCORE
–
136 OF 144
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.12POINTS A GAME2.46+1.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.62+3.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+5.92.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.016LEAGUE GAMES13
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
73%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
69%
NO · 85/90
NASHVILLE SC OR DRAW
68%
NO · 80/85
PHILADELPHIA UNION OR DRAW
38%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (16 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
NASHVILLE SCxPHILADELPHIA UNION
5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME2.400.40CONCEDED A GAME1.603.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%40%BOTH SCORE100%2.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.69.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
NASHVILLE SC 3 · 33%DRAW 3PHILADELPHIA UNION 3 · 33%
4 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-05-01Nashville SC 1 – 1 Philadelphia Union
2023-07-13Nashville SC 0 – 2 Philadelphia Union
2023-10-07Nashville SC 0 – 0 Philadelphia Union
2024-04-07Nashville SC 1 – 2 Philadelphia Union
2024-07-20Nashville SC 0 – 3 Philadelphia Union
2025-03-16Nashville SC 3 – 1 Philadelphia Union
2025-07-06Nashville SC 1 – 0 Philadelphia Union
2025-09-17Nashville SC 3 – 1 Philadelphia Union
TEAM NEWS
NASHVILLE SC
Out: O. Presthus (Lower-Body Injury), F. Camara (Lower-Body Injury), O. Presthus (Lower-Body Injury), F. Camara (Lower-Body Injury)
PHILADELPHIA UNION
Out: J. Bueno (Hamstring Injury), B. Damiani (Yellow Cards), M. Iloski (Muscle Injury), C. Sullivan (Ankle Injury), J. Bueno (Hamstring Injury), B. Damiani (Yellow Cards)
TRENDS
Nashville SC have scored in 90% of their games.
Philadelphia Union have scored in 100% of their games.
Nashville SC kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
Philadelphia Union kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards