New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time. It is played at Yankee Stadium, New York City. The referee is Tori Penso.
What's at stake. New York City FC are 12th on 35 points after 31 games, 1 point behind Toronto FC, 2 points clear of DC United. A win would take them above Toronto FC. Atlanta United FC are 14th on 30 points after 31 games, 3 points behind DC United, 5 points clear of CF Montreal. A win would take them level on points with DC United. New York City FC have nothing left to play for. Atlanta United FC have nothing left to play for.
Team news. New York City FC are without D. Baiera (knee injury), A. Farnos (leg injury), M. Moralez (knee injury), K. Trewin (ankle injury), K. Parks (leg injury), D. Baiera (knee injury). Atlanta United FC are without D. Chica (knee injury), E. Mihaj (hip injury), W. Reilly (ankle injury), D. Chica (knee injury), E. Mihaj (hip injury), W. Reilly (ankle injury). E. Mihaj is their centre-back.
Form. New York City FC have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L D. In this competition New York City FC have gone D D L L D L. Atlanta United FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. In this competition Atlanta United FC have gone L L W L D W.
The numbers. New York City FC score one and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. New York City FC average 13.1 shots (4.6 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Atlanta United FC score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Atlanta United FC average 14.1 shots (3.9 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings New York City FC have won three, drawn six and lost one. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, New York City FC won one, two were drawn and Atlanta United FC won one. The last time they met, on 26 Sep 2026, it finished New York City FC 2-2 Atlanta United FC: New York City FC had 9 shots to 7, 49% of the ball, two yellow cards.
The case against. Atlanta United FC's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. New York City FC or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make New York City FC the likelier winners. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 76% on the records (New York City FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Atlanta United FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: New York City FC 2-1 Atlanta United FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).