New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time. It is played at Boston Stadium. The referee is Christopher Penso.
What's at stake. New England Revolution are 2nd on 55 points after 31 games, 15 points behind Nashville SC, level on points with Inter Miami. New York Red Bulls are 9th on 39 points after 31 games, 3 points behind FC Cincinnati, 1 point clear of Columbus Crew. A win would take them level on points with FC Cincinnati.
Team news. New England Revolution are without L. Campana (hamstring injury), J. Harrison (lower-body injury), A. Yusuf (muscle injury), W. Sands (leg injury), L. Campana (hamstring injury), J. Harrison (lower-body injury). W. Sands is their centre-back. New York Red Bulls are without J. Bazan (yellow cards), J. Che (knee injury), J. Bazan (yellow cards), J. Che (knee injury).
Form. New England Revolution have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. In this competition New England Revolution have gone W W W L L W. New York Red Bulls have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L. In this competition New York Red Bulls have gone W L L W L W.
The numbers. New England Revolution score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. New England Revolution average 11.0 shots (5.4 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. New York Red Bulls score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. New York Red Bulls average 16.1 shots (5.0 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings New England Revolution have won three, drawn none and lost five. Five of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, New England Revolution won two and New York Red Bulls won two. The last time they met, on 28 Feb 2026, it finished New England Revolution 0-1 New York Red Bulls: New England Revolution had 5 shots to 12, 35% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make New England Revolution the likelier winners, but New England Revolution are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour New England Revolution; the meetings favour New York Red Bulls.
The case against. New York Red Bulls's record still gives them 39% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. New England Revolution to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make New England Revolution the likelier winners; New England Revolution are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour New England Revolution; the meetings favour New York Red Bulls. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%. Five of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: New England Revolution or Draw (1UP) at 1.22, 63% on the records (New England Revolution scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3; led or was unbeaten in 7 of 10). Leave: New England Revolution or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); New York Red Bulls Under 1.5 goals (New England Revolution's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); New England Revolution Over 0.5 goals (New York Red Bulls's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: New England Revolution 2-1 New York Red Bulls (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).