PANPAN

18:00Sun 25 Oct

AST

Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Super League, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.

Form. Panathinaikos have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Asteras Tripolis have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L.

The numbers. Panathinaikos score 1.7 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets and two games without a goal. Panathinaikos average 9.2 shots (4.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Asteras Tripolis score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Asteras Tripolis average 13.4 shots (4.4 on target), 6.8 corners and 0.8 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Panathinaikos the likelier winners, but Asteras Tripolis are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Panathinaikos.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Panathinaikos 1-1 Asteras Tripolis (13% chance).

The agreed story. Panathinaikos or the draw, a tight game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Panathinaikos in their last cup games: won 2-0 at AE Kifisia FC, won 1-0 v Niki Volou 1924 PAE (a division below). Asteras Tripolis in their last cup games: won 3-0 at Niki Volou 1924 PAE (a division below), drew 1-1 v Aris Thessaloniki. Too few cup games to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PAN 10 of 10 (100%) · AST 4 of 5 (80%)89.3%

Panathinaikos: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Asteras Tripolis: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Panathinaikos: only games against sides at Asteras Tripolis's level · Asteras Tripolis: only games against sides at Panathinaikos's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PAN 9 of 10 (90%) · AST 4 of 5 (80%)83.5%

Panathinaikos: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Asteras Tripolis: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Panathinaikos: only games against sides at Asteras Tripolis's level · Asteras Tripolis: only games against sides at Panathinaikos's level

Under 3.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.38

PAN 7 of 10 (70%) · AST 3 of 5 (60%)64.3%

Panathinaikos: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Asteras Tripolis: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · Panathinaikos: only games against sides at Asteras Tripolis's level · Asteras Tripolis: only games against sides at Panathinaikos's level

Left off the list: Over 6.5 Corners (the numbers (39%) and the records (80%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.7%

Panathinaikos goals →

Asteras Tripolis goals ↓

0-09%

1-012%

2-010%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-26%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.7%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.4%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

PANATHINAIKOSDLDWLWWWWW2.00 PPG

ASTERAS TRIPOLISWDWWWLLWWW2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PANATHINAIKOS HOMExASTERAS TRIPOLIS AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME2.700.60CONCEDED A GAME0.9070%CLEAN SHEETS60%4.00CORNERS A GAME6.781.70CARDS A GAME0.78

TRENDS

Panathinaikos have scored in 80% of their games.

Asteras Tripolis have scored in 80% of their games.

Panathinaikos kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.

Asteras Tripolis kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards