Match details. Super League, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 11:30 Lagos time.
Form. Odysseas Moschatou WFC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. OFI have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L.
The numbers. Odysseas Moschatou WFC score one and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Odysseas Moschatou WFC average 9.2 shots (3.2 on target), 2.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game. OFI score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. OFI average 10.0 shots (2.8 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The case against. Odysseas Moschatou WFC's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. OFI to win. OFI are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour OFI.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Odysseas Moschatou WFC 0-1 OFI (11% chance).
The agreed story. OFI or the draw, goals in between.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).