Match details. LaLiga. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 18:30 Lagos time.
Form. Elche CF have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W. Valencia have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W.
The numbers. Elche CF score 1.6 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Elche CF average 4.4 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Valencia score 0.7 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Valencia average 4.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The case against. Valencia's record still gives them 27% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The read. Elche CF or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Elche CF are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.37, 73% on the records (Elche CF: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 9; Valencia: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Elche CF or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Elche CF 1-1 Valencia (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Elche CF or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.28
ELC 4 of 5 (80%) · VAL 5 of 9 (56%)75.2%
Elche CF scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Valencia trailed or failed to win in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Elche CF: only games against sides at Valencia's level · Valencia: only games against sides at Elche CF's level
Elche CF or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.27
ELC 5 of 9 (56%) · VAL 9 of 10 (90%)71.4%
Elche CF: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Valencia: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Elche CF: only games against sides at Valencia's level · Valencia: only games against sides at Elche CF's level
Double Chance: Elche CF or DrawIN CODES
1.38
ELC 5 of 9 (56%) · VAL 9 of 10 (90%)70.2%
Elche CF unbeaten in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Valencia failed to win 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Elche CF: only games against sides at Valencia's level · Valencia: only games against sides at Elche CF's level
Elche CF (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.70
ELC 2 of 6 (33%) · VAL 6 of 7 (86%)69.4%
Elche CF won 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Valencia lost 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 60% · Elche CF: only games against sides at Valencia's level · Valencia: only games against sides at Elche CF's level · won 2, refunded 2, lost 4
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.13
ELC 5 of 9 (56%) · VAL 8 of 10 (80%)93.8%
Elche CF: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Valencia: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · Elche CF: only games against sides at Valencia's level · Valencia: only games against sides at Elche CF's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.37
ELC 4 of 9 (44%) · VAL 6 of 10 (60%)81.7%
Elche CF: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Valencia: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 52% · Elche CF: only games against sides at Valencia's level · Valencia: only games against sides at Elche CF's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.93
ELC 3 of 9 (33%) · VAL 5 of 10 (50%)50.8%
Elche CF: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Valencia: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 42% · Elche CF: only games against sides at Valencia's level · Valencia: only games against sides at Elche CF's level
ELCHE CF GOALS
Elche CF Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.27
ELC 6 of 9 (67%) · VAL 7 of 10 (70%)68.3%
Elche CF scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Valencia conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · Elche CF: only games against sides at Valencia's level · Valencia: only games against sides at Elche CF's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Elche CF or draw and under 3.5 goals (the numbers (51%) and the records (47%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.1%
Elche CF goals →
Valencia goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
ELCHE CFWWDDWLDLLL1.20 PPG
VALENCIALDDLWLLLLD0.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ELCHE CF HOMExVALENCIA AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME0.701.70CONCEDED A GAME1.7030%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.40CORNERS A GAME4.202.60CARDS A GAME2.40
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.00POINTS A GAME0.56-0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.11-2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.91.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.89LEAGUE GAMES9
Elche CF: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 85/90
ELCHE CF OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
VALENCIA OR DRAW
76%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ELCHE CFxVALENCIA
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.200.80CONCEDED A GAME1.602.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE60%5.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–8.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Elche CF have scored in 70% of their games.
Valencia have scored in 50% of their games.
Elche CF kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Valencia kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards