RSRAC

16:15Sun 1 Nov

REA

Racing Santander vs Real Madrid

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. LaLiga, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:15 Lagos time. It is played at El Sardinero, Santander. The referee is Jose Luis Munuera Montero.

What's at stake. Racing Santander are 15th on 11 points after 10 games, level on points with Osasuna, 1 point clear of Elche. A win would take them above Osasuna. Real Madrid are 3rd on 24 points after 10 games, 4 points behind Atletico Madrid, 1 point clear of Real Betis.

Team news. Racing Santander are without A. Martin (muscle injury), J. Salinas (yellow cards), A. Martin (muscle injury), J. Salinas (yellow cards). Real Madrid are without R. Asencio (broken leg), F. Mendy (hip injury), Rodrygo (knee injury), F. Valverde (hamstring injury), Vinicius Junior (red card), R. Asencio (broken leg).

Form. Racing Santander have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L. In this competition Racing Santander have gone W L D L L W. Real Madrid have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition Real Madrid have gone W W W L W W.

The numbers. Racing Santander score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Racing Santander average 12.6 shots (5.4 on target), 4.9 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Real Madrid score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Real Madrid average 15.9 shots (6.4 on target), 6.5 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Racing Santander have won none, drawn one and lost three. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 18 Feb 2012, it finished Racing Santander 0-4 Real Madrid.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 81% against the records' 46%.

The read. No firm call: Real Madrid are the better side, but not at this price. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Real Madrid the likelier winners; Real Madrid are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Real Madrid; the meetings favour Real Madrid. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 85%. Three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Racing Santander 1-2 Real Madrid (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Real Madrid or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

RAC 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 5 of 5 (100%)82.2%

Real Madrid: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Racing Santander: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95% · H2H 3 of 4 · Real Madrid: only games against sides at Racing Santander's level · Racing Santander: only games against sides at Real Madrid's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

RAC 5 of 5 (100%) · REA 5 of 5 (100%)90.5%

Racing Santander: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Real Madrid: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 4 · Racing Santander: only games against sides at Real Madrid's level · Real Madrid: only games against sides at Racing Santander's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 82%

1.22

RAC 5 of 5 (100%) · REA 4 of 5 (80%)58.4%

Racing Santander: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Real Madrid: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 4 · Racing Santander: only games against sides at Real Madrid's level · Real Madrid: only games against sides at Racing Santander's level

REAL MADRID GOALS

Real Madrid Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

RAC 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 5 of 5 (100%)77.8%

Real Madrid scored in 4 of 5 away · Racing Santander conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95% · H2H 3 of 4 · Real Madrid: only games against sides at Racing Santander's level · Racing Santander: only games against sides at Real Madrid's level

Real Madrid Over 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 84%

1.19

RAC 3 of 5 (60%) · REA 3 of 5 (60%)61.8%

Real Madrid scored over 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · Racing Santander conceded over 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 4 · Real Madrid: only games against sides at Racing Santander's level · Racing Santander: only games against sides at Real Madrid's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.10

RAC 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 5 of 5 (100%)89.3%

Racing Santander: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Real Madrid: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · Racing Santander: only games against sides at Real Madrid's level · Real Madrid: only games against sides at Racing Santander's level

2nd Half - Real Madrid Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.19

RAC 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 3 of 5 (60%)75%

Real Madrid: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Racing Santander: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · Real Madrid: only games against sides at Racing Santander's level · Racing Santander: only games against sides at Real Madrid's level

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.16

RAC 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 3 of 5 (60%)72.1%

Racing Santander: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Real Madrid: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · Racing Santander: only games against sides at Real Madrid's level · Real Madrid: only games against sides at Racing Santander's level

CARDS

Over 4.5 cardsIN CODES

1.76

RAC 7 of 8 (88%) · REA 5 of 8 (62%)75%

Racing Santander's games: over 4.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Madrid's games: over 4.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Racing Santander: only games against sides at Real Madrid's level · Real Madrid: only games against sides at Racing Santander's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.4%

Racing Santander goals →

Real Madrid goals ↓

0-06%

1-06%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.5%

5-00.1%

0-19%

1-112%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-29%

2-26%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-34%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.0%

0-50.6%

1-50.7%

2-50.4%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

RACING SANTANDERDLWLWLLDLW1.10 PPG

REAL MADRIDWWWLWWLWWW2.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

RACING SANTANDER HOMExREAL MADRID AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME2.502.60CONCEDED A GAME1.0010%CLEAN SHEETS10%30%FAILED TO SCORE10%4.88CORNERS A GAME6.503.00CARDS A GAME2.751.35xG2.292.43xG AGAINST1.07

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.10POINTS A GAME2.40-1.10GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.50-1.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.00.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.410LEAGUE GAMES10

Real Madrid: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

REAL MADRID 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

85%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

51%

NO · 85/90

RACING SANTANDER OR DRAW

76%

NO · 80/85

REAL MADRID OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

RACING SANTANDERxREAL MADRID

5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.601.60CONCEDED A GAME1.403.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%100%BOTH SCORE80%5.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.813.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

RACING SANTANDER 0 · 0%DRAW 1REAL MADRID 3 · 75%

2 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2010-10-23Racing Santander 1 – 6 Real Madrid

2011-03-06Racing Santander 1 – 3 Real Madrid

2011-09-21Racing Santander 0 – 0 Real Madrid

2012-02-18Racing Santander 0 – 4 Real Madrid

TEAM NEWS

RACING SANTANDER

Out: A. Martin (Muscle Injury), J. Salinas (Yellow Cards), A. Martin (Muscle Injury), J. Salinas (Yellow Cards)

REAL MADRID

Out: R. Asencio (Broken Leg), F. Mendy (Hip Injury), Rodrygo (Knee Injury), F. Valverde (Hamstring Injury), Vinicius Junior (Red Card), R. Asencio (Broken Leg)

TRENDS

Racing Santander have scored in 70% of their games.

Real Madrid have scored in 90% of their games.

Racing Santander kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Real Madrid kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards