Match details. A-League, Regular Season - 3. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 05:00 Lagos time. It is played at McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle.
What's at stake. Newcastle United Jets are 7th on 2 points after 2 games, 2 points behind Auckland, 1 point clear of Melbourne Victory. A win would take them above Auckland. Wellington Phoenix FC are 1st on 6 points after 2 games, 2 points clear of Western Sydney Wanderers.
Team news. Newcastle United Jets are without A. Badolato (inactive), A. Brideson (inactive), O. Cockle (inactive), M. Cooper (foot injury), O. Fryer (knee injury), O. Gonzalez (inactive). Wellington Phoenix FC are without F. Conchie (inactive), I. Hughes (inactive), J. Smith (inactive), F. Conchie (inactive), I. Hughes (inactive), J. Smith (inactive).
Form. Newcastle United Jets have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L L. In this competition Newcastle United Jets have gone D D D W D D. Wellington Phoenix FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. In this competition Wellington Phoenix FC have gone W W L W L W.
The numbers. Newcastle United Jets score 1.7 and concede 2.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Newcastle United Jets average 11.4 shots (3.7 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Wellington Phoenix FC score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Wellington Phoenix FC average 13.2 shots (4.0 on target), 7.1 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Newcastle United Jets have won four, drawn one and lost four. Eight of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, Newcastle United Jets won two and Wellington Phoenix FC won two. The last time they met, on 23 Jan 2026, it finished Newcastle United Jets 4-1 Wellington Phoenix FC: Newcastle United Jets had 24 shots to 17, 50% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Newcastle United Jets the likelier winners, but Wellington Phoenix FC are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. No side to back. A draw is live. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%. Eight of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Wellington Phoenix FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Wellington Phoenix FC 1UP (no result call). Predicted score: Newcastle United Jets 2-1 Wellington Phoenix FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).