Lorient vs Brest
Match details. Ligue 1 action here. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Lorient have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, taking 1.5 points a game. Their last five read D W W L D. Brest have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, picking up 1.0 points a game. Their last five read L D W L L.
The numbers. Lorient score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. They average 8.7 shots (2.9 on target), 3.1 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Brest score 1.6 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets. They average 13.9 shots (5.7 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game. Even so, their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The case against. Brest's record still gives them 37% to win. Not everything agrees on goals, as their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Lorient or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Lorient the likelier winners as Lorient are the stronger side on form and the table, and their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Lorient or Over 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Lorient or Both Teams Score (no side to back); Lorient or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Lorient 2-1 Brest (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).