BMBAY

18:30Sat 31 Oct

BOR

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Allianz Arena, München.

What's at stake. Bayern Munich are 1st on 17 points after 7 games, level on points with Borussia Dortmund. Borussia Dortmund are 2nd on 17 points after 7 games, level on points with Bayern München, 4 points clear of SC Freiburg. A win would take them above Bayern München.

Form. Bayern Munich have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D. Borussia Dortmund have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L.

The numbers. Bayern Munich score 5.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Bayern Munich average 21.4 shots (9.4 on target), 9.1 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 67% of the ball. Borussia Dortmund score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Borussia Dortmund average 14.8 shots (6.0 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Bayern Munich have won six, drawn three and lost one. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, Bayern Munich won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 22 Aug 2026, it finished Bayern Munich 2-1 Borussia Dortmund: Bayern Munich had 17 shots to 5, 64% of the ball, one yellow card.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 74% against the records' 38%.

The read. No firm call: Bayern Munich are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Bayern Munich the likelier winners; Bayern Munich are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Bayern Munich. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Bayern Munich are a clear winner, no Unders); Bayern Munich Over 0.5 Goals (Borussia Dortmund's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Borussia Dortmund Under 1.5 goals (Borussia Dortmund's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Bayern Munich 2-1 Borussia Dortmund (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Bayern Munich or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.09

93.5%

a proven pattern for games read like this one (team or over 2.5)

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BAY 5 of 6 (83%) · BOR 5 of 6 (83%)97.4%

Bayern Munich: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Borussia Dortmund: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · Bayern Munich: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at Bayern Munich's level

Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.28

BAY 5 of 6 (83%) · BOR 3 of 6 (50%)74.5%

Bayern Munich: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Borussia Dortmund: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 4 of 6 · Bayern Munich: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at Bayern Munich's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.10

BAY 5 of 6 (83%) · BOR 5 of 6 (83%)87.5%

Bayern Munich: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Borussia Dortmund: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Bayern Munich: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at Bayern Munich's level

CORNERS

Over 10.5 CornersHELD · the odds board 47%

2.15

BAY 6 of 6 (100%) · BOR 3 of 6 (50%)75%

Bayern Munich's games: over 10.5 corners in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Borussia Dortmund's games: over 10.5 corners in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Bayern Munich: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at Bayern Munich's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Bayern Munich are a clear winner - no Unders); Bayern Munich Over 0.5 Goals (Borussia Dortmund's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Borussia Dortmund Under 1.5 goals (Borussia Dortmund's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Bayern Munich Over 1.5 goals (Borussia Dortmund's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Under 5.5 Goals (Bayern Munich are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.8%

Bayern Munich goals →

Borussia Dortmund goals ↓

0-05%

1-010%

2-011%

3-08%

4-04%

5-02%

0-14%

1-110%

2-110%

3-17%

4-14%

5-12%

0-22%

1-24%

2-24%

3-23%

4-22%

5-20.7%

0-30.5%

1-31%

2-31%

3-30.9%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.1%

1-40.3%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BAYERN MUNICHWWDWDDWWWD2.20 PPG

BORUSSIA DORTMUNDWWWDLDWWWW2.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BAYERN MUNICH HOMExBORUSSIA DORTMUND AWAY

3.57SCORED A GAME1.710.86CONCEDED A GAME0.5730%CLEAN SHEETS40%17%FAILED TO SCORE14%9.14CORNERS A GAME6.001.00CARDS A GAME1.603.42xG1.680.92xG AGAINST0.89

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

BAYERN MUNICH TO SCORE

–

136 OF 144

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.

BAYERN MUNICH OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.43POINTS A GAME2.25+2.71GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00+11.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.62.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.27LEAGUE GAMES8

Bayern Munich: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

73%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

61%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 85/90

BAYERN MUNICH OR DRAW

72%

NO · 80/85

BORUSSIA DORTMUND OR DRAW

49%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BAYERN MUNICHxBORUSSIA DORTMUND

5GAMES54.00SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME0.405.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE20%2.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.012.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

BAYERN MUNICH 6 · 60%DRAW 3BORUSSIA DORTMUND 1 · 10%

8 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

10 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

8 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

6 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2022-04-23Bayern Munich 3 – 1 Borussia Dortmund

2022-10-08Bayern Munich 2 – 2 Borussia Dortmund

2023-04-01Bayern Munich 4 – 2 Borussia Dortmund

2023-11-04Bayern Munich 4 – 0 Borussia Dortmund

2024-03-30Bayern Munich 0 – 2 Borussia Dortmund

2024-11-30Bayern Munich 1 – 1 Borussia Dortmund

2025-04-12Bayern Munich 2 – 2 Borussia Dortmund

2025-10-18Bayern Munich 2 – 1 Borussia Dortmund

TRENDS

Bayern Munich have scored in 90% of their games.

Borussia Dortmund have scored in 80% of their games.

Bayern Munich kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Borussia Dortmund kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards