Betis vs Malaga CF
Match details. LaLiga, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla.
What's at stake. Betis are 4th on 20 points after 10 games, 4 points behind Real Madrid, 1 point clear of Real Sociedad. Malaga CF are 20th on 5 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Valencia. A win would take them above Valencia.
Form. Betis have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W. Malaga CF have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D L.
The numbers. Betis score 2.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Betis average 16.2 shots (6.1 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Malaga CF score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Malaga CF average 11.4 shots (3.4 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Betis have won six, drawn none and lost three. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Betis won four. The last time they met, on 30 Apr 2018, it finished Betis 2-1 Malaga CF: Betis had 12 shots to 9, 63% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The read. Betis to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Betis the likelier winners; Betis are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Betis; the meetings favour Betis. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Betis to win at 1.35, 88% on the records (the tipsters read Betis as a clear winner (3 scores) and Betis are 1.4 points a game better this season - 21 of 24 games like this were won). Backup: Malaga CF Under 1.5 Goals at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Betis are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Betis are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Betis 2-1 Malaga CF (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).