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SPAIN - LALIGA
Rayo Vallecano crestRVRAY
16:15Sat 31 Oct
CELCelta crestCEL

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta

CLASS A
THE READ

Match details. LaLiga, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:15 Lagos time. It is played at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid.

What's at stake. Rayo Vallecano are 16th on 9 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Elche, level on points with Getafe. A win would take them above Elche. Celta are 9th on 12 points after 10 games, level on points with Athletic Club, level on points with Villarreal. A win would take them above Athletic Club.

Form. Rayo Vallecano have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D W. Celta have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L D.

The numbers. Rayo Vallecano score 1.3 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets. Rayo Vallecano average 12.5 shots (4.5 on target), 5.3 corners and 3.3 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Celta score 0.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Celta average 10.8 shots (3.5 on target), 2.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Rayo Vallecano have won two, drawn five and lost three. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Rayo Vallecano won two, one was drawn and Celta won one. The last time they met, on 18 Jan 2026, it finished Rayo Vallecano 0-3 Celta: Rayo Vallecano had 14 shots to 11, 51% of the ball, seven yellow cards.

The case against. Celta's record still gives them 32% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The read. Rayo Vallecano or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Celta are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Rayo Vallecano Over 0.5 goals (Celta's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Celta (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Rayo Vallecano or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
RAY 9 of 9 (100%) · CEL 4 of 7 (57%)82.8%
Rayo Vallecano: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Celta: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 4 of 6 · Rayo Vallecano: only games against sides at Celta's level · Celta: only games against sides at Rayo Vallecano's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.38
RAY 9 of 9 (100%) · CEL 4 of 7 (57%)76.4%
Rayo Vallecano: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Celta: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 4 of 6 · Rayo Vallecano: only games against sides at Celta's level · Celta: only games against sides at Rayo Vallecano's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.31
RAY 9 of 9 (100%) · CEL 4 of 7 (57%)71.4%
Rayo Vallecano: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Celta: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Rayo Vallecano: only games against sides at Celta's level · Celta: only games against sides at Rayo Vallecano's level
Left off the list: Rayo Vallecano Over 0.5 goals (Celta's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 8.4%
Rayo Vallecano goals →
Celta goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-41.0%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
RAYO VALLECANODLDDWLWLDL1.00 PPG
CELTADWWLDWLDDD1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
RAYO VALLECANO HOMExCELTA AWAY
1.33SCORED A GAME1.002.22CONCEDED A GAME0.700%CLEAN SHEETS40%11%FAILED TO SCORE50%5.33CORNERS A GAME2.803.30CARDS A GAME1.751.36xG1.061.68xG AGAINST1.09
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
CELTA 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.00POINTS A GAME1.33-0.89GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.56+1.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.41.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.89LEAGUE GAMES9
Celta: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
47%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
80%
NO · 85/90
RAYO VALLECANO OR DRAW
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
CELTA OR DRAW
76%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
RAYO VALLECANOxCELTA
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.601.20CONCEDED A GAME0.402.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.6–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES6.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
RAYO VALLECANO 2 · 20%DRAW 5CELTA 3 · 30%
3 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-11-01Rayo Vallecano 0 – 0 Celta
2022-02-05Rayo Vallecano 0 – 2 Celta
2022-11-10Rayo Vallecano 0 – 0 Celta
2023-03-11Rayo Vallecano 0 – 3 Celta
2023-12-11Rayo Vallecano 0 – 0 Celta
2024-03-31Rayo Vallecano 0 – 0 Celta
2025-01-10Rayo Vallecano 2 – 1 Celta
2025-05-18Rayo Vallecano 2 – 1 Celta
TRENDS
Rayo Vallecano have scored in 80% of their games.
Celta have scored in 60% of their games.
Rayo Vallecano kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Celta kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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