Borussia M´gladbach vs Paderborn
Match details. Borussia M´gladbach host Paderborn in Bundesliga Regular Season - 8 at Borussia-Park, Monchengladbach. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct at 15:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Borussia M´gladbach are 18th on 3 points after 7 games, 3 points behind Union Berlin. A win would take them level on points with Union Berlin. Paderborn are 13th on 8 points after 7 games, level on points with 1. FC Köln and Eintracht Frankfurt. A win would take them above 1. FC Köln.
Form. Borussia M´gladbach have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, averaging 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first, are W W L L L. Paderborn have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, also with 1.2 points a game. Their last five read L W D L W.
The numbers. Borussia M´gladbach score 2.6 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. They average 11.3 shots (5.4 on target), 5.9 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Paderborn score 1.1 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Paderborn average 14.6 shots (4.6 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 49% possession.
Head to head. Borussia M´gladbach have won all of the last four meetings. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 20 Jun 2020, it finished Borussia M´gladbach 3-1 Paderborn: Borussia M´gladbach had 22 shots to 11, 51% of the ball, and six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways in this one. Their goals for and against make Borussia M´gladbach the likelier winners, but Paderborn are the stronger side on form and the table, while the meetings favour Borussia M´gladbach. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game, though their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%.
The case against. Paderborn's record still gives them 43% to win. Not everything agrees on goals, as their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Borussia M´gladbach or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Borussia M´gladbach the likelier winners, but Paderborn are the stronger side on form and the table, the meetings favour Borussia M´gladbach, and their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.15, 75% on the records (Borussia M´gladbach: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8; Paderborn: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8). Backup: Borussia M´gladbach or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.24. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Borussia M´gladbach 2-1 Paderborn (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).