Criciuma EC SC vs AA Ponte Preta SP
Match details. Brasileiro Serie B, Regular Season - 36. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 23:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Heriberto Hülse, Chrissyuma. The referee is Yuri Elino Ferreira Da Cruz.
What's at stake. Criciuma EC SC are 5th on 59 points after 35 games, 2 points behind Fortaleza EC, 4 points clear of CRB. A win would take them above Fortaleza EC. AA Ponte Preta SP are 20th on 15 points after 35 games, 8 points behind America Mineiro.
Form. Criciuma EC SC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. AA Ponte Preta SP have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L.
The numbers. Criciuma EC SC score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Criciuma EC SC average 17.1 shots (3.2 on target), 6.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. AA Ponte Preta SP score 0.2 and concede 3.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. AA Ponte Preta SP average 9.6 shots (3.5 on target), 4.0 corners and 4.1 cards a game, with 34% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Criciuma EC SC have won three, drawn five and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, Criciuma EC SC won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 8 Jul 2026, it finished Criciuma EC SC 2-1 AA Ponte Preta SP: Criciuma EC SC had 17 shots to 11, 51% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 93% against the records' 68%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: Criciuma EC SC are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Criciuma EC SC the likelier winners; Criciuma EC SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Criciuma EC SC; the meetings favour Criciuma EC SC.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Criciuma EC SC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Criciuma EC SC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Criciuma EC SC 2-0 AA Ponte Preta SP (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).