Match details. A-League, Regular Season - 3. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 10:00 Lagos time. It is played at Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane.
What's at stake. Brisbane Roar FC are 5th on 3 points after 1 game, 1 point behind Sydney, level on points with Auckland. A win would take them above Sydney. Auckland FC are 6th on 3 points after 2 games, level on points with Brisbane Roar, 1 point clear of Newcastle Jets. A win would take them above Brisbane Roar.
Team news. Brisbane Roar FC are without D. Valkanis (leg injury), D. Valkanis (leg injury). Auckland FC are without A. Calver (ankle injury), C. Howieson (calf injury), O. Middleton (knee injury), A. Calver (ankle injury), C. Howieson (calf injury), O. Middleton (knee injury).
Form. Brisbane Roar FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L. Auckland FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W.
The numbers. Brisbane Roar FC score 1.4 and concede 1.9 a game in their last seven at home, with one clean sheet. Brisbane Roar FC average 14.2 shots (4.7 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Auckland FC score 1.5 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Auckland FC average 11.9 shots (3.8 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Brisbane Roar FC have won none, drawn one and lost three. None of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 9 Jan 2026, it finished Brisbane Roar FC 0-2 Auckland FC: Brisbane Roar FC had 13 shots to 14, 61% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Brisbane Roar FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Auckland FC: in the last four meetings, Auckland FC won three and one was drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%; four of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Auckland FC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Brisbane Roar FC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw). Predicted score: Brisbane Roar FC 1-1 Auckland FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).