FROFRO

18:30Thu 29 Oct

LEC

LEC

Frosinone vs Lecce

CLASS A

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

1UP

Class A

FROv

LEC

Frosinone 1UP

Frosinone v Lecce

Italy - Serie A · 18:30

1.30odds

77%book

+2edge

—angles

THE READ

Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at PSC Arena, Frosinone. The referee is Rosario Abisso.

What's at stake. Frosinone are 7th on 14 points after 8 games, level on points with Napoli, level on points with Juventus. A win would take them above Napoli. Lecce are 14th on 9 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Genoa, 1 point clear of Sassuolo. A win would take them above Genoa.

Team news. Frosinone are without F. Grillitsch (thigh injury), F. Grillitsch (thigh injury). Lecce are without M. Berisha (thigh injury), L. Coulibaly (thigh injury), K. Gaspar (red card), I. Ilic (thigh injury), S. Pierotti (ankle injury), M. Berisha (thigh injury). L. Coulibaly is their top scorer.

Form. Frosinone have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D. Lecce have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W.

The numbers. Frosinone score 2.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Frosinone average 17.0 shots (6.7 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Lecce score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Lecce average 10.9 shots (4.1 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 41% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last six meetings Frosinone have won none, drawn three and lost three. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, two were drawn and Lecce won two. The last time they met, on 3 Mar 2024, it finished Frosinone 1-1 Lecce: Frosinone had 15 shots to 11, 65% of the ball, two yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Frosinone the likelier winners, but Frosinone are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Lecce.

The case against. Lecce's record still gives them 38% to win. The meetings do not back them.

The read. Frosinone to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Frosinone the likelier winners; Frosinone are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Lecce. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.

The bets. Best bet: Frosinone 1UP at 1.30, 70% on the records (Frosinone scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4; led in 6 of 8). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.10 (78%). Leave: Lecce Under 1.5 goals (Frosinone's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (Frosinone are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Frosinone are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Frosinone 2-1 Lecce (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Frosinone or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FRO 7 of 8 (88%) · LEC 8 of 9 (89%)91.4%

Frosinone: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lecce: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 4 of 6 · Frosinone: only games against sides at Lecce's level · Lecce: only games against sides at Frosinone's level

Frosinone or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.17

FRO 6 of 8 (75%) · LEC 7 of 9 (78%)82.5%

Frosinone: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lecce: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · H2H 3 of 6 · Frosinone: only games against sides at Lecce's level · Lecce: only games against sides at Frosinone's level

Frosinone 1UPMAININ CODES

1.30

FRO 4 of 5 (80%) · LEC 6 of 8 (75%)78.8%

Frosinone scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lecce trailed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Frosinone: only games against sides at Lecce's level · Lecce: only games against sides at Frosinone's level

Frosinone or Draw & Over 1.5PAGE ONLY

1.36

FRO 6 of 8 (75%) · LEC 4 of 9 (44%)71.5%

Frosinone: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lecce: the bet landed in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 2 of 6 · Frosinone: only games against sides at Lecce's level · Lecce: only games against sides at Frosinone's level

Frosinone to WinPAGE ONLY

1.74

FRO 4 of 8 (50%) · LEC 5 of 9 (56%)71%

Frosinone won 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lecce lost 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 53% · H2H 0 of 6 · Frosinone: only games against sides at Lecce's level · Lecce: only games against sides at Frosinone's level

Frosinone or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.19

FRO 4 of 5 (80%) · LEC 6 of 8 (75%)70.2%

Frosinone scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lecce trailed or failed to win in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Frosinone: only games against sides at Lecce's level · Lecce: only games against sides at Frosinone's level

Frosinone Win & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY

1.84

FRO 4 of 8 (50%) · LEC 4 of 9 (44%)57.7%

Frosinone: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lecce: the bet landed in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 47% · H2H 0 of 6 · Frosinone: only games against sides at Lecce's level · Lecce: only games against sides at Frosinone's level

Frosinone or draw and over 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.76

FRO 4 of 8 (50%) · LEC 3 of 9 (33%)52.7%

Frosinone: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lecce: the bet landed in 3 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 42% · H2H 1 of 6 · Frosinone: only games against sides at Lecce's level · Lecce: only games against sides at Frosinone's level

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsSAFERIN CODES

1.10

FRO 7 of 8 (88%) · LEC 7 of 9 (78%)88.9%

Frosinone: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lecce: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 6 · Frosinone: only games against sides at Lecce's level · Lecce: only games against sides at Frosinone's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.53

FRO 5 of 8 (62%) · LEC 5 of 9 (56%)61.8%

Frosinone: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lecce: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 59% · H2H 3 of 6 · Frosinone: only games against sides at Lecce's level · Lecce: only games against sides at Frosinone's level

FROSINONE GOALS

Frosinone Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.54

FRO 5 of 8 (62%) · LEC 5 of 9 (56%)66.7%

Frosinone scored over 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lecce conceded over 1.5 in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 59% · H2H 1 of 6 · Frosinone: only games against sides at Lecce's level · Lecce: only games against sides at Frosinone's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.29

FRO 8 of 8 (100%) · LEC 8 of 9 (89%)87.5%

Frosinone: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lecce: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Frosinone: only games against sides at Lecce's level · Lecce: only games against sides at Frosinone's level

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FRO 6 of 7 (86%) · LEC 7 of 9 (78%)81.7%

Frosinone's games: over 1.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Lecce's games: over 1.5 cards in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Frosinone: only games against sides at Lecce's level · Lecce: only games against sides at Frosinone's level

Left off the list: Lecce Under 1.5 goals (Frosinone's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (Frosinone are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Frosinone are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.8%

Frosinone goals →

Lecce goals ↓

0-07%

1-010%

2-010%

3-06%

4-03%

5-00.9%

0-15%

1-112%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-10.9%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FROSINONEWLWDWDWLWD1.80 PPG

LECCEWLWLLWLLWL1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FROSINONE HOMExLECCE AWAY

2.20SCORED A GAME1.001.50CONCEDED A GAME1.6020%CLEAN SHEETS30%25%FAILED TO SCORE50%5.78CORNERS A GAME4.502.11CARDS A GAME1.901.57xG1.392.42xG AGAINST1.94

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

FROSINONE TO SCORE

–

136 OF 144

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.75POINTS A GAME1.12+0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.62+1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.91.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.28LEAGUE GAMES8

Frosinone: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

64%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 85/90

FROSINONE OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

LECCE OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FROSINONExLECCE

5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.402.00CONCEDED A GAME1.804.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE40%3.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.213.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 6

FROSINONE 0 · 0%DRAW 3LECCE 3 · 50%

3 of 6BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 6OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 6OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 6OVER 3.5 GOALS

2020-12-12Frosinone 2 – 2 Lecce

2021-03-20Frosinone 0 – 3 Lecce

2021-11-20Frosinone 0 – 0 Lecce

2022-04-02Frosinone 0 – 1 Lecce

2023-12-16Frosinone 1 – 2 Lecce

2024-03-03Frosinone 1 – 1 Lecce

TEAM NEWS

FROSINONE

Out: F. Grillitsch (Thigh Injury), F. Grillitsch (Thigh Injury)

LECCE

Out: M. Berisha (Thigh Injury), L. Coulibaly (Thigh Injury), K. Gaspar (Red Card), I. Ilic (Thigh Injury), S. Pierotti (Ankle Injury), M. Berisha (Thigh Injury)

TRENDS

Frosinone have scored in 80% of their games.

Lecce have scored in 50% of their games.

Frosinone kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Lecce kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards