Genoa vs Juventus
Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Luigi Ferraris, Genoa. The referee is Daniele Doveri.
What's at stake. Genoa are 16th on 7 points after 8 games, level on points with Monza, 3 points clear of Udinese. A win would take them above Monza. Juventus are 7th on 14 points after 8 games, level on points with Frosinone, 1 point clear of Torino. A win would take them above Frosinone.
Team news. Genoa are without E. Havel (ankle injury), L. Venturino (knee injury), K. Ehizibue (muscle injury), D. Sow (thigh injury), S. Wiafe (muscle injury), E. Havel (ankle injury). Juventus are without Z. Celik (muscle injury), F. Conceicao (shoulder injury), J. Ekhator (muscle injury), N. Gonzalez (calf injury), K. Grabara (knee injury), M. Locatelli (knee injury).
Form. Genoa have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W. Juventus have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W D.
The numbers. Genoa score 1.4 and concede 1.3 a game in their last seven at home, with two clean sheets. Genoa average 11.9 shots (3.8 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Juventus score 1.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Juventus average 13.7 shots (5.6 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Genoa have won one, drawn two and lost six. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Juventus won four. The last time they met, on 6 Apr 2026, it finished Genoa 0-2 Juventus: Genoa had 12 shots to 16, 38% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The case against. Genoa's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. Juventus to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Juventus the likelier winners; Juventus are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Juventus; the meetings favour Juventus. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.30, 74% on the records (Genoa: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Juventus: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7). Backup: Juventus or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Genoa 0-1 Juventus (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).