Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice. The referee is Luca J. Pairetto.
What's at stake. Venezia FC are 20th on 3 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Parma. A win would take them above Parma. Inter are 2nd on 22 points after 8 games, 3 points behind Lazio, 1 point clear of AS Roma. A win would take them level on points with Lazio.
Team news. Venezia FC are without A. Adorante (hernia), T. Correia (thigh injury), B. Franjic (shoulder injury), M. Sverko (hip injury), A. Adorante (hernia), T. Correia (thigh injury). Inter are without C. Jones (thigh injury), Luis Henrique (thigh injury), L. Martinez (thigh injury), B. Pavard (thigh injury), J. Stones (injury), C. Jones (thigh injury).
Form. Venezia FC have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. Inter have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.
The numbers. Venezia FC score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Venezia FC average 14.5 shots (4.6 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Inter score 2.4 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Inter average 21.4 shots (7.6 on target), 6.3 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 63% of the ball.
Head to head. Inter have won all of the last five meetings. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Inter won four. The last time they met, on 3 Dec 2025, it finished Venezia FC 1-5 Inter: Venezia FC had 5 shots to 19, 46% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%; three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Inter to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Inter the likelier winners; Inter are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Inter; the meetings favour Inter. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. Best bet: Inter to win at 1.42, 88% on the records (the tipsters read Inter as a clear winner (5 scores) and Inter are 2.4 points a game better this season - 21 of 24 games like this were won). Full cover: Venezia FC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.30. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Inter are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Inter are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Venezia FC 1-2 Inter (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).