Parma Calcio vs Udinese
Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Ennio Tardini, Parma. The referee is Davide Massa.
What's at stake. Parma Calcio are 19th on 4 points after 8 games, level on points with Fiorentina, 1 point clear of Venezia. A win would take them above Fiorentina. Udinese are 17th on 4 points after 8 games, 3 points behind Genoa, level on points with Fiorentina. A win would take them level on points with Genoa.
Team news. Parma Calcio are without N. Elphege (illness), L. Valenti (coach's decision), N. Elphege (illness), L. Valenti (coach's decision). Udinese are without D. Alaba (calf injury), V. Bayo (thigh injury), I. Gueye (ankle injury), O. Solet (muscle injury), A. Zanoli (muscle injury), D. Alaba (calf injury). O. Solet is their centre-back.
Form. Parma Calcio have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. Udinese have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.
The numbers. Parma Calcio score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Parma Calcio average 9.8 shots (4.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. Udinese score 1.2 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Udinese average 12.5 shots (4.5 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Parma Calcio have won four, drawn two and lost four. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Parma Calcio won one and Udinese won three. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2026, it finished Parma Calcio 1-0 Udinese: Parma Calcio had 10 shots to 16, 43% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Udinese without O. Solet (centre-back). Parma Calcio's record still gives them 37% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Udinese or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Udinese are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Udinese; the meetings favour Udinese. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.27, 75% on the records (Parma Calcio: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 8; Udinese: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Parma Calcio 1-1 Udinese (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).