AC Milan vs Bologna
Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan. The referee is Juan Luca Sacchi.
What's at stake. AC Milan are 5th on 18 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Como, 4 points clear of Frosinone. A win would take them above Como. Bologna are 13th on 8 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Lecce, level on points with Sassuolo. A win would take them above Lecce.
Team news. AC Milan are without S. Chukwueze (hip injury), M. Gabbia (thigh injury), M. Gila (ankle injury), R. Loftus-Cheek (thigh injury), D. Moreira (thigh injury), A. Rabiot (calf injury). A. Rabiot is their main creator. Bologna are without E. Holm (thigh injury), R. Orsolini (thigh injury), R. Piccoli (hamstring injury), J. Enem (achilles tendon injury), E. Holm (thigh injury), R. Orsolini (thigh injury).
Form. AC Milan have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D. Bologna have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L.
The numbers. AC Milan score 1.8 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. AC Milan average 11.0 shots (4.9 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 60% of the ball. Bologna score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Bologna average 11.0 shots (3.9 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings AC Milan have won five, drawn three and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, AC Milan won three and Bologna won one. The last time they met, on 3 Feb 2026, it finished AC Milan 3-0 Bologna: AC Milan had 10 shots to 13, 46% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. AC Milan without A. Rabiot (creator). Bologna's record still gives them 27% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. AC Milan or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make AC Milan the likelier winners; AC Milan are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AC Milan; the meetings favour AC Milan. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: AC Milan to win at 1.77, 88% on the records (the tipsters read AC Milan as a clear winner (5 scores) and AC Milan are 1.2 points a game better this season - 21 of 24 games like this were won). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (AC Milan are a clear winner, no Unders); AC Milan or draw and under 3.5 goals (AC Milan are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (AC Milan are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: AC Milan 1-1 Bologna (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).