Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes
Match details. Super League, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Kabwe Warriors have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D L. Green Buffaloes have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L L.
The numbers. Kabwe Warriors score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Kabwe Warriors average 11.0 shots (3.8 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Green Buffaloes score none and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Green Buffaloes average 7.7 shots (3.0 on target), 2.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 18%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Kabwe Warriors or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Green Buffaloes or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Kabwe Warriors 0-0 Green Buffaloes (18% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).