Virtus Entella vs US Avellino
Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Comunale, Chiavari.
What's at stake. Virtus Entella are 12th on 9 points after 8 games, level on points with Hellas Verona, level on points with Vicenza Virtus. A win would take them above Hellas Verona. US Avellino are 8th on 11 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Sudtirol, 1 point clear of Padova. A win would take them above Sudtirol.
Form. Virtus Entella have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D W. US Avellino have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D.
The numbers. Virtus Entella score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Virtus Entella average 12.7 shots (4.5 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. US Avellino score 0.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. US Avellino average 11.1 shots (4.5 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Virtus Entella have won one, drawn four and lost two. Two of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and US Avellino won two. The last time they met, on 15 Mar 2026, it finished Virtus Entella 1-2 US Avellino: Virtus Entella had 19 shots to 6, 59% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%; five of the last seven meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. US Avellino's record still gives them 34% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The read. Virtus Entella or the draw. A tight game. The meetings favour US Avellino. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Five of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.24, 75% on the records (Virtus Entella: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; US Avellino: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6). Backup: Virtus Entella or Both Teams Score at 1.25. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Virtus Entella or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Virtus Entella or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Virtus Entella 1-1 US Avellino (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).