Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova.
What's at stake. Mantova 1911 are 2nd on 17 points after 8 games, 5 points behind Palermo, 1 point clear of Modena. US Cremonese are 18th on 6 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Carrarese, 1 point clear of Sampdoria. A win would take them above Carrarese.
Form. Mantova 1911 have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W. US Cremonese have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D D.
The numbers. Mantova 1911 score 1.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Mantova 1911 average 12.0 shots (5.7 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. US Cremonese score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. US Cremonese average 11.2 shots (4.3 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Mantova 1911 have won one, drawn none and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2025, it finished Mantova 1911 2-4 US Cremonese: Mantova 1911 had 11 shots to 17, 53% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The read. Mantova 1911 to win. Mantova 1911 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Mantova 1911.
The bets. Best bet: Mantova 1911 1UP at 1.60, 77% on the records (Mantova 1911 scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4; led in 7 of 8). Leave: 1X2 - 2UP: Mantova 1911 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (Mantova 1911 are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Mantova 1911 are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Mantova 1911 1-0 US Cremonese (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).