Cesena FC vs Empoli
Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Dino Manuzzi, Cesena.
What's at stake. Cesena FC are 15th on 8 points after 8 games, level on points with Juve Stabia, 1 point clear of Empoli. A win would take them above Juve Stabia. Empoli are 16th on 7 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Cesena, level on points with Carrarese. A win would take them above Cesena.
Form. Cesena FC have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D D. Empoli have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L.
The numbers. Cesena FC score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Cesena FC average 11.0 shots (4.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Empoli score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Empoli average 8.2 shots (3.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Cesena FC have won none, drawn two and lost four. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, one was drawn and Empoli won three. The last time they met, on 28 Feb 2026, it finished Cesena FC 1-1 Empoli: Cesena FC had 8 shots to 28, 36% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Cesena FC are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour Empoli.
The case against. Empoli's record still gives them 35% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Cesena FC or the draw. A tight game. Cesena FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Empoli. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Cesena FC 1-1 Empoli (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).