Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno.
What's at stake. Ascoli Calcio 1898 are 4th on 15 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Modena, 1 point clear of Benevento. A win would take them above Modena. Sampdoria Genoa are 19th on 5 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Cremonese, 1 point clear of Catanzaro. A win would take them above Cremonese.
Form. Ascoli Calcio 1898 have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W L. Sampdoria Genoa have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L.
The numbers. Ascoli Calcio 1898 score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Ascoli Calcio 1898 average 10.6 shots (4.1 on target), 6.9 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 61% of the ball. Sampdoria Genoa score 0.6 and concede two a game in their last seven away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Sampdoria Genoa average 12.0 shots (4.3 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Ascoli Calcio 1898 have won none, drawn one and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 11 Mar 2024, it finished Ascoli Calcio 1898 1-2 Sampdoria Genoa: Ascoli Calcio 1898 had 12 shots to 16, 38% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The read. Ascoli Calcio 1898 to win. Their goals for and against make Ascoli Calcio 1898 the likelier winners; Ascoli Calcio 1898 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ascoli Calcio 1898.
The bets. Best bet: Ascoli Calcio 1898 or Draw at 1.32, 79% on the records (Ascoli Calcio 1898 unbeaten in 6 of 7; Sampdoria Genoa failed to win 6 of 6 away). Backup: Ascoli Calcio 1898 or Both Teams Score at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Ascoli Calcio 1898 are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Ascoli Calcio 1898 are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Ascoli Calcio 1898 1-0 Sampdoria Genoa (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).