ITALY - SERIE B
19:00Tue 27 Oct
USC
UC
Benevento Calcio vs US Catanzaro
CLASS E
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
81
1UP
Class E
Benevento Calcio 1UP
Benevento Calcio v US Catanzaro
1.31odds
76%book
+5edge
1/1angles
THE READ
Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento.
What's at stake. Benevento Calcio are 5th on 14 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Ascoli, level on points with Pisa. A win would take them above Ascoli. US Catanzaro are 20th on 4 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Sampdoria. A win would take them above Sampdoria.
Form. Benevento Calcio have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. US Catanzaro have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W.
The numbers. Benevento Calcio score 2.3 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Benevento Calcio average 11.5 shots (4.1 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. US Catanzaro score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. US Catanzaro average 11.8 shots (4.3 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.
The case against. US Catanzaro's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. Benevento Calcio to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Benevento Calcio the likelier winners; Benevento Calcio are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Benevento Calcio. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The bets. Best bet: Benevento Calcio 1UP at 1.34, 81% on the records (Benevento Calcio scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4; led in 4 of 5 at home). Leave: Benevento Calcio or draw and both teams score (the signs point different ways); US Catanzaro Under 1.5 goals (US Catanzaro's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (Benevento Calcio are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Benevento Calcio 2-1 US Catanzaro (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Benevento Calcio or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BEN 5 of 5 (100%) · USC 6 of 6 (100%)97.4%
Benevento Calcio: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · US Catanzaro: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 84% · Benevento Calcio: only games in US Catanzaro's division · US Catanzaro: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level
Benevento Calcio or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.12
BEN 5 of 5 (100%) · USC 5 of 5 (100%)97.2%
Benevento Calcio scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · US Catanzaro trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 away · Benevento Calcio: only games in US Catanzaro's division · US Catanzaro: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level
Benevento Calcio or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.11
BEN 5 of 5 (100%) · USC 5 of 6 (83%)93.7%
Benevento Calcio: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · US Catanzaro: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 79% · Benevento Calcio: only games in US Catanzaro's division · US Catanzaro: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level
Double Chance: Benevento Calcio or DrawIN CODES
1.17
BEN 4 of 5 (80%) · USC 5 of 6 (83%)88%
Benevento Calcio unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · US Catanzaro failed to win 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 69% · Benevento Calcio: only games in US Catanzaro's division · US Catanzaro: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level
Benevento Calcio or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.26
BEN 4 of 5 (80%) · USC 5 of 6 (83%)84.1%
Benevento Calcio: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · US Catanzaro: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 79% · Benevento Calcio: only games in US Catanzaro's division · US Catanzaro: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level
Benevento Calcio (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.25
BEN 4 of 6 (67%) · USC 4 of 5 (80%)83.8%
Benevento Calcio won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · US Catanzaro lost 4 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 71% · Benevento Calcio: only games in US Catanzaro's division · US Catanzaro: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level · won 7, refunded 3, lost 2
Benevento Calcio 1UPMAININ CODES
1.31
BEN 4 of 5 (80%) · USC 4 of 5 (80%)81.1%
Benevento Calcio scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 at home · US Catanzaro trailed in 5 of 6 away · Benevento Calcio: only games in US Catanzaro's division · US Catanzaro: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level
Benevento Calcio to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.36
BEN 4 of 5 (80%) · USC 4 of 6 (67%)73.3%
Benevento Calcio: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · US Catanzaro: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 73% · on half-time scores · Benevento Calcio: only games in US Catanzaro's division · US Catanzaro: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level
1st Half Result or Match Result: Benevento CalcioPAGE ONLY
1.45
BEN 4 of 5 (80%) · USC 4 of 6 (67%)73.3%
Benevento Calcio: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · US Catanzaro: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 73% · on half-time scores · Benevento Calcio: only games in US Catanzaro's division · US Catanzaro: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level
Benevento Calcio to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.70
BEN 2 of 5 (40%) · USC 4 of 6 (67%)70.2%
Benevento Calcio won 2 of 5 at home · US Catanzaro lost 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 53% · Benevento Calcio: only games in US Catanzaro's division · US Catanzaro: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level
1X2 - 2UP: Benevento CalcioLEANPAGE ONLY
1.55
BEN 3 of 5 (60%) · USC 3 of 5 (60%)62.2%
Benevento Calcio scored first 4 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 3 of 5 at home · US Catanzaro trailed by 2 or lost in 4 of 6 away · Benevento Calcio: only games in US Catanzaro's division · US Catanzaro: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.20
BEN 5 of 5 (100%) · USC 6 of 6 (100%)88.2%
Benevento Calcio: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · US Catanzaro: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 84% · Benevento Calcio: only games in US Catanzaro's division · US Catanzaro: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 60%
1.66
BEN 3 of 5 (60%) · USC 4 of 6 (67%)38.2%
Benevento Calcio: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · US Catanzaro: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 73% · Benevento Calcio: only games in US Catanzaro's division · US Catanzaro: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level
BENEVENTO CALCIO GOALS
Benevento Calcio Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.13
BEN 5 of 5 (100%) · USC 5 of 6 (83%)90.5%
Benevento Calcio scored in 5 of 5 at home · US Catanzaro conceded in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 79% · Benevento Calcio: only games in US Catanzaro's division · US Catanzaro: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level
Benevento Calcio Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.68
BEN 3 of 5 (60%) · USC 5 of 6 (83%)56%
Benevento Calcio scored over 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · US Catanzaro conceded over 1.5 in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 69% · Benevento Calcio: only games in US Catanzaro's division · US Catanzaro: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level
US CATANZARO GOALS
US Catanzaro Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 70%
1.42
BEN 5 of 6 (83%) · USC 4 of 5 (80%)39.2%
US Catanzaro scored in 5 of 6 away · Benevento Calcio conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 84% · US Catanzaro: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level · Benevento Calcio: only games in US Catanzaro's division
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.19
BEN 5 of 5 (100%) · USC 5 of 6 (83%)92.6%
Benevento Calcio: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · US Catanzaro: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 94% · on half-time scores · Benevento Calcio: only games in US Catanzaro's division · US Catanzaro: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.31
BEN 4 of 5 (80%) · USC 5 of 6 (83%)77.4%
Benevento Calcio: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · US Catanzaro: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 69% · on half-time scores · Benevento Calcio: only games in US Catanzaro's division · US Catanzaro: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsIN CODES
1.15
BEN 4 of 5 (80%) · USC 5 of 6 (83%)82.6%
Benevento Calcio's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · US Catanzaro's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 84% · Benevento Calcio: only games in US Catanzaro's division · US Catanzaro: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level
Left off the list: Benevento Calcio or draw and both teams score (the numbers (42%) and the records (60%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); US Catanzaro Under 1.5 goals (US Catanzaro's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (Benevento Calcio are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Benevento Calcio are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.6%
Benevento Calcio goals →
US Catanzaro goals ↓
0-07%
1-010%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
BENEVENTO CALCIOWDWWWLDLLW1.70 PPG
US CATANZAROLDLLWLLLDW0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BENEVENTO CALCIO HOMExUS CATANZARO AWAY
1.62SCORED A GAME1.120.88CONCEDED A GAME2.5030%CLEAN SHEETS20%12%FAILED TO SCORE12%5.50CORNERS A GAME4.502.40CARDS A GAME2.201.52xG1.421.10xG AGAINST2.08
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.75POINTS A GAME0.57+0.75GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.43+4.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.62.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.88LEAGUE GAMES7
Benevento Calcio: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
BENEVENTO CALCIO TO SCORE
–
61 OF 64
NO PRICE YET
BENEVENTO CALCIO 2:0 HANDICAP
–
61 OF 64
NO PRICE YET
DOUBLE CHANCE: BENEVENTO CALCIO OR DRAW
–
58 OF 64
NO PRICE YET
BENEVENTO CALCIO 1UP
–
49 OF 55
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
81%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
BENEVENTO CALCIO OR DRAW
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
US CATANZARO OR DRAW
42%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
BENEVENTO CALCIOxUS CATANZARO
5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.200.60CONCEDED A GAME2.602.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Benevento Calcio have scored in 90% of their games.
US Catanzaro have scored in 90% of their games.
Benevento Calcio kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
US Catanzaro kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards