Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Sertanense FC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L L. CD Fatima have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L.
The numbers. Sertanense FC score 0.7 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Sertanense FC average 5.4 shots (2.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 4.2 cards a game. CD Fatima score 2.2 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Fatima average 11.1 shots (4.6 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. Sertanense FC's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. CD Fatima to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Fatima the likelier winners; CD Fatima are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Fatima. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or CD Fatima at 1.52, 73% on the records (CD Fatima unbeaten in 4 of 7; Sertanense FC failed to win 8 of 9). Leave: CD Fatima or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); CD Fatima or Draw (1UP) (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Sertanense FC 1-2 CD Fatima (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CD Fatima or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SER 6 of 7 (86%) · CDF 8 of 9 (89%)87.3%
CD Fatima: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Sertanense FC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · CD Fatima: only games against sides at Sertanense FC's level · Sertanense FC: only games against sides at CD Fatima's level
Double Chance: Draw or CD FatimaMAININ CODES
1.37
SER 4 of 7 (57%) · CDF 8 of 9 (89%)73%
CD Fatima unbeaten in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Sertanense FC failed to win 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · CD Fatima: only games against sides at Sertanense FC's level · Sertanense FC: only games against sides at CD Fatima's level
CD Fatima or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SER 5 of 7 (71%) · CDF 6 of 9 (67%)69%
CD Fatima: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Sertanense FC: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · CD Fatima: only games against sides at Sertanense FC's level · Sertanense FC: only games against sides at CD Fatima's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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SER 8 of 9 (89%) · CDF 7 of 7 (100%)94.4%
Sertanense FC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Fatima: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Sertanense FC: only games against sides at CD Fatima's level · CD Fatima: only games against sides at Sertanense FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.39
SER 7 of 9 (78%) · CDF 6 of 7 (86%)81.7%
Sertanense FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Fatima: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Sertanense FC: only games against sides at CD Fatima's level · CD Fatima: only games against sides at Sertanense FC's level
CD FATIMA GOALS
CD Fatima Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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SER 5 of 7 (71%) · CDF 8 of 9 (89%)80.2%
CD Fatima scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Sertanense FC conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · CD Fatima: only games against sides at Sertanense FC's level · Sertanense FC: only games against sides at CD Fatima's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
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SER 5 of 5 (100%) · CDF 6 of 7 (86%)92.9%
Sertanense FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Fatima's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Sertanense FC: only games against sides at CD Fatima's level · CD Fatima: only games against sides at Sertanense FC's level
Left off the list: CD Fatima or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); CD Fatima or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (86%) and the records (66%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–29.8%
Sertanense FC goals →
CD Fatima goals ↓
0-07%
1-05%
2-03%
3-00.7%
4-00.2%
5-00.0%
0-111%
1-111%
2-15%
3-11%
4-10.3%
5-10.1%
0-211%
1-210%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.3%
5-20.1%
0-37%
1-36%
2-33%
3-30.8%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-43%
1-43%
2-41%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-51%
1-51%
2-50.5%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
SERTANENSE FCLLWLDLLDLD0.60 PPG
CD FATIMAWWDWWLLWLW1.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SERTANENSE FC HOMExCD FATIMA AWAY
0.70SCORED A GAME2.201.40CONCEDED A GAME1.1010%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.80CORNERS A GAME4.904.20CARDS A GAME1.90
TRENDS
Sertanense FC have scored in 50% of their games.
CD Fatima have scored in 80% of their games.
Sertanense FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
CD Fatima kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards