Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Alverca B have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. AD Nogueirense have won one, drawn five and lost none of their last six, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D D.
The numbers. FC Alverca B score 2.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Alverca B average 7.9 shots (2.7 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.7 cards a game. AD Nogueirense score 1.5 and concede 1.3 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet. AD Nogueirense average 8.7 shots (3.7 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: FC Alverca B 1-1 AD Nogueirense (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).