Ass Naval 1º de Maio vs Mortagua FC
Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Ass Naval 1º de Maio have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D. Mortagua FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W D.
The numbers. Ass Naval 1º de Maio score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Ass Naval 1º de Maio average 7.8 shots (3.5 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Mortagua FC score 1.1 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Mortagua FC average 8.2 shots (2.6 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.27, 81% on the records (Ass Naval 1º de Maio: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8; Mortagua FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8). Leave: Ass Naval 1º de Maio or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Mortagua FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ass Naval 1º de Maio 1-1 Mortagua FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).