ALCALC

16:00Sun 25 Oct

FCS

Alcochetense vs FC Serpa

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.

Form. Alcochetense have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D. FC Serpa have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D D.

The numbers. Alcochetense score 2.5 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Alcochetense average 9.5 shots (4.5 on target), 6.5 corners and 3.3 cards a game. FC Serpa score 1.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Serpa average 8.9 shots (4.0 on target), 2.8 corners and 3.4 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 6.5 Corners (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Alcochetense 1-1 FC Serpa (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALC 7 of 7 (100%) · FCS 7 of 8 (88%)93.8%

Alcochetense: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Serpa: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Alcochetense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level · FC Serpa: only games against sides at Alcochetense's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALC 7 of 7 (100%) · FCS 7 of 8 (88%)93.8%

Alcochetense: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Serpa: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Alcochetense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level · FC Serpa: only games against sides at Alcochetense's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALC 6 of 7 (86%) · FCS 6 of 8 (75%)80.4%

Alcochetense: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Serpa: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Alcochetense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level · FC Serpa: only games against sides at Alcochetense's level

ALCOCHETENSE GOALS

Alcochetense Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALC 6 of 7 (86%) · FCS 6 of 8 (75%)80.4%

Alcochetense scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Serpa conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Alcochetense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level · FC Serpa: only games against sides at Alcochetense's level

FC SERPA GOALS

FC Serpa Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 60%

1.66

ALC 6 of 8 (75%) · FCS 6 of 7 (86%)80.4%

FC Serpa scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alcochetense conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · FC Serpa: only games against sides at Alcochetense's level · Alcochetense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALC 7 of 7 (100%) · FCS 6 of 7 (86%)92.9%

Alcochetense's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Serpa's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Alcochetense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level · FC Serpa: only games against sides at Alcochetense's level

Left off the list: Over 6.5 Corners (the numbers (54%) and the records (79%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.1%

Alcochetense goals →

FC Serpa goals ↓

0-06%

1-09%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-16%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-27%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.5%

1-40.9%

2-40.7%

3-40.4%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

ALCOCHETENSEDWLDWDWWLL1.50 PPG

FC SERPALLLWWDDDDW1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ALCOCHETENSE HOMExFC SERPA AWAY

2.10SCORED A GAME1.401.20CONCEDED A GAME1.1030%CLEAN SHEETS30%6.50CORNERS A GAME2.783.30CARDS A GAME3.44

TRENDS

Alcochetense have scored in 90% of their games.

FC Serpa have scored in 80% of their games.

Alcochetense kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

FC Serpa kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards