AD Camacha vs AD Sanjoanense
Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. AD Camacha have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D. AD Sanjoanense have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.
The numbers. AD Camacha score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. AD Camacha average 10.1 shots (4.2 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game. AD Sanjoanense score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. AD Sanjoanense average 12.4 shots (5.2 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AD Camacha Over 0.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AD Camacha 0-1 AD Sanjoanense (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).