1 Dezembro vs Vitoria Setubal
Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. 1 Dezembro have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L L. Vitoria Setubal have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D W.
The numbers. 1 Dezembro score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. 1 Dezembro average 11.2 shots (2.9 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Vitoria Setubal score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Vitoria Setubal average 9.1 shots (4.0 on target), 6.9 corners and 3.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Vitoria Setubal Over 0.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: 1 Dezembro 1-1 Vitoria Setubal (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).