Fehervar FC vs Szent Mihaly SE
Match details. NB I, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Fehervar FC have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten league games, 0.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L W L. Szent Mihaly SE have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. Fehervar FC score 1.6 and concede 4.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Fehervar FC average 1.4 corners and 0.5 cards a game. Szent Mihaly SE score 0.7 and concede two a game in their last seven away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Szent Mihaly SE average 3.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
The case against. Fehervar FC's record still gives them 39% to win.
The read. Szent Mihaly SE to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Szent Mihaly SE the likelier winners; Szent Mihaly SE are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Szent Mihaly SE. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Fehervar FC 1-2 Szent Mihaly SE (8% chance).
The agreed story. Szent Mihaly SE or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).