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12:00Sun 25 Oct

ADM

Guarda Desportiva FC vs AD Machico

CLASS E

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THE BETBANKER · 2-ODDS · 3-ODDS · 5-ODDS…

DOUBLE CHANCE

Class E

GDv

Double Chance: Draw or AD Machico

Guarda Desportiva FC v AD Machico

Portugal - Campeonato… · 12:00

1.25odds

80%book

+12edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.

Form. Guarda Desportiva FC have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. AD Machico have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W.

The numbers. Guarda Desportiva FC score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Guarda Desportiva FC average 10.3 shots (4.4 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.3 cards a game. AD Machico score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. AD Machico average 11.1 shots (4.4 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game.

The read. AD Machico to win. A tight game. AD Machico are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AD Machico. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%.

The bets. Best bet: Draw or AD Machico at 1.26, 92% on the records (AD Machico unbeaten in 4 of 5 away; Guarda Desportiva FC failed to win 8 of 8). Leave: AD Machico or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); AD Machico to Win (the signs point different ways); AD Machico 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Guarda Desportiva FC 0-1 AD Machico (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Double Chance: Draw or AD MachicoMAININ CODES

1.25

GUA 4 of 5 (80%) · ADM 8 of 8 (100%)91.5%

AD Machico unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · Guarda Desportiva FC failed to win 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · AD Machico: only games against sides at Guarda Desportiva FC's level · Guarda Desportiva FC: only games against sides at AD Machico's level

AD Machico or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

GUA 4 of 5 (80%) · ADM 7 of 8 (88%)85.2%

AD Machico: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Guarda Desportiva FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · AD Machico: only games against sides at Guarda Desportiva FC's level · Guarda Desportiva FC: only games against sides at AD Machico's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

GUA 7 of 8 (88%) · ADM 5 of 5 (100%)93.8%

Guarda Desportiva FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AD Machico: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Guarda Desportiva FC: only games against sides at AD Machico's level · AD Machico: only games against sides at Guarda Desportiva FC's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

GUA 7 of 8 (88%) · ADM 5 of 5 (100%)93.8%

Guarda Desportiva FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AD Machico: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Guarda Desportiva FC: only games against sides at AD Machico's level · AD Machico: only games against sides at Guarda Desportiva FC's level

AD MACHICO GOALS

AD Machico Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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GUA 4 of 5 (80%) · ADM 8 of 8 (100%)89.6%

AD Machico scored in 4 of 5 away · Guarda Desportiva FC conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · AD Machico: only games against sides at Guarda Desportiva FC's level · Guarda Desportiva FC: only games against sides at AD Machico's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

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GUA 4 of 5 (80%) · ADM 3 of 5 (60%)71.1%

Guarda Desportiva FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · AD Machico's games: over 2.5 cards in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 73% · Guarda Desportiva FC: only games against sides at AD Machico's level · AD Machico: only games against sides at Guarda Desportiva FC's level

Left off the list: AD Machico or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); AD Machico to Win (the numbers (44%) and the records (60%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); AD Machico 1UP (the numbers (59%) and the records (87%) are 28 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); AD Machico or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); AD Machico or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (77%) and the records (100%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 11.7%

Guarda Desportiva FC goals →

AD Machico goals ↓

0-010%

1-08%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-112%

1-114%

2-17%

3-12%

4-10.6%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.4%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.7%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

GUARDA DESPORTIVA FCLLDLLWLDLL0.50 PPG

AD MACHICOLWDWDWDDWW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

GUARDA DESPORTIVA FC HOMExAD MACHICO AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.401.70CONCEDED A GAME0.6010%CLEAN SHEETS60%5.57CORNERS A GAME5.202.29CARDS A GAME2.20

TRENDS

Guarda Desportiva FC have scored in 50% of their games.

AD Machico have scored in 80% of their games.

Guarda Desportiva FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

AD Machico kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards