Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. GD Lagoa have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W L. Juventude Desportiva Lajense have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L D.
The numbers. GD Lagoa score 1.1 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. GD Lagoa average 5.5 shots (1.4 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Juventude Desportiva Lajense score 2.2 and concede 3.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Juventude Desportiva Lajense average 8.7 shots (2.7 on target), 2.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.
The case against. Juventude Desportiva Lajense's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. GD Lagoa to win. Their goals for and against make GD Lagoa the likelier winners; GD Lagoa are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: GD Lagoa 2-1 Juventude Desportiva Lajense (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).