Nantes vs Clermont Foot
Match details. Ligue 2, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes. The referee is Mickael Leleu.
What's at stake. Nantes are 15th on 8 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Rodez, level on points with Grenoble. A win would take them above Rodez. Clermont Foot are 17th on 7 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Grenoble, 1 point clear of Laval. A win would take them above Grenoble.
Form. Nantes have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W L. Clermont Foot have won none, drawn seven and lost three of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D D.
The numbers. Nantes score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Nantes average 14.2 shots (3.6 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Clermont Foot score 0.9 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Clermont Foot average 8.6 shots (2.9 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Nantes have won four, drawn three and lost two. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Nantes won one, two were drawn and Clermont Foot won one. The last time they met, on 14 Jan 2024, it finished Nantes 1-2 Clermont Foot: Nantes had 21 shots to 15, 52% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 66% against the records' 31%.
The read. No firm call: Nantes are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Nantes the likelier winners; Nantes are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.35, 75% on the records (Nantes: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Clermont Foot: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: Nantes Over 0.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Nantes 1-1 Clermont Foot (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).