Al-Riyadh SC vs Al Qadsiah
Al-Riyadh SC scored under 1.5 in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Al Qadsiah conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Al-Riyadh SC: only games against sides at Al Qadsiah's level · Al Qadsiah: only games against sides at Al-Riyadh SC's level
Match details. Saudi Pro League action is here. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Al-Riyadh SC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, earning 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D. Al Qadsiah have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, taking 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W D.
The numbers. Al-Riyadh SC score 1.1 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. They average 3.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Al Qadsiah score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. They average 6.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree here. The odds board makes it 76% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: Al Qadsiah are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Al Qadsiah the likelier winners, and they are the stronger side on form and the table. Both teams' records favour Al Qadsiah. Their goals for and against point to an open game, and their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.12, 78% on the records (Al-Riyadh SC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9; Al Qadsiah: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7). Full cover: Al-Riyadh SC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.25. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Al Qadsiah Over 1.5 goals (Al-Riyadh SC's own games don't back it (3 of 9)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Al-Riyadh SC 1-2 Al Qadsiah (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).