Bray Wanderers AFC vs Kerry FC
Match details. Premier Division, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Carlisle Grounds, Bray.
What's at stake. Bray Wanderers AFC are 3rd on 54 points after 36 games, 2 points behind UCD, 2 points clear of Kerry FC. A win would take them above UCD. Kerry FC are 4th on 52 points after 36 games, 2 points behind Bray Wanderers, level on points with Longford Town. A win would take them above Bray Wanderers. Bray Wanderers AFC have nothing left to play for. Kerry FC have nothing left to play for. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Bray Wanderers AFC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L W. In this competition Bray Wanderers AFC have gone W L D L W W. Kerry FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W. In this competition Kerry FC have gone L D W W W L.
The numbers. Bray Wanderers AFC score 1.5 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Bray Wanderers AFC average 9.9 shots (4.0 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Kerry FC score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Kerry FC average 8.3 shots (4.3 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Bray Wanderers AFC have won seven, drawn one and lost two. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Bray Wanderers AFC won two, one was drawn and Kerry FC won one. The last time they met, on 24 Oct 2026, it finished Bray Wanderers AFC 2-1 Kerry FC.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Bray Wanderers AFC the likelier winners, but Kerry FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Bray Wanderers AFC. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Kerry FC's record still gives them 38% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Bray Wanderers AFC or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Bray Wanderers AFC the likelier winners; Kerry FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Bray Wanderers AFC. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Bray Wanderers AFC 2-1 Kerry FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).