Match details. Liga Portugal 2, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio do Mar, Matosinhos. The referee is Gustavo Fernandes Correia.
What's at stake. Leixoes SC are 11th on 10 points after 8 games, 1 point behind União de Leiria, level on points with Portimonense. A win would take them above União de Leiria. Sporting Lisbon B are 2nd on 18 points after 8 games, level on points with Lusitânia Lourosa, 2 points clear of Penafiel. A win would take them above Lusitânia Lourosa.
Form. Leixoes SC have won three, drawn one and lost four of their last eight, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W. In this competition Leixoes SC have gone L L D W W L. Sporting Lisbon B have won six, drawn none and lost two of their last eight, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition Sporting Lisbon B have gone W W L W W L.
The numbers. Leixoes SC score 1.1 and concede 1.5 a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Leixoes SC average 12.5 shots (5.5 on target), 5.2 corners and 4.0 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Sporting Lisbon B score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game over their last eight, with four clean sheets. Sporting Lisbon B average 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Leixoes SC have won one, drawn two and lost three. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Leixoes SC won one, two were drawn and Sporting Lisbon B won one. The last time they met, on 28 Feb 2026, it finished Leixoes SC 1-0 Sporting Lisbon B: Leixoes SC had 7 shots to 13, 39% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 28% against the records' 59%.
The read. No firm call: Sporting Lisbon B are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Sporting Lisbon B the likelier winners; Sporting Lisbon B are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sporting Lisbon B.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Leixoes SC 1-1 Sporting Lisbon B (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).