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Deportivo Maritimo vs FC Cartagena B

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THE READ

Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 13. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.

Form. Deportivo Maritimo have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W L L. FC Cartagena B have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W D D.

The numbers. Deportivo Maritimo score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Deportivo Maritimo average 9.9 shots (3.6 on target), 3.3 corners and 3.4 cards a game. FC Cartagena B score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. FC Cartagena B average 9.0 shots (4.9 on target), 4.8 corners and 3.5 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.

The case against. Deportivo Maritimo's record still gives them 33% to win.

The read. FC Cartagena B to win. FC Cartagena B are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Cartagena B.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Deportivo Maritimo 0-1 FC Cartagena B (8% chance).

The agreed story. FC Cartagena B or the draw, goals in between.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DEP 5 of 5 (100%) · FCC 4 of 5 (80%)90%
Deportivo Maritimo: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · FC Cartagena B: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Deportivo Maritimo: only games against sides at FC Cartagena B's level · FC Cartagena B: only games against sides at Deportivo Maritimo's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DEP 4 of 5 (80%) · FCC 4 of 5 (80%)81.7%
Deportivo Maritimo: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FC Cartagena B: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Deportivo Maritimo: only games against sides at FC Cartagena B's level · FC Cartagena B: only games against sides at Deportivo Maritimo's level
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 80%
1.25
DEP 3 of 5 (60%) · FCC 3 of 5 (60%)43.7%
Deportivo Maritimo: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · FC Cartagena B: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Deportivo Maritimo: only games against sides at FC Cartagena B's level · FC Cartagena B: only games against sides at Deportivo Maritimo's level
FC CARTAGENA B GOALS
FC Cartagena B Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCC 4 of 5 (80%) · DEP 4 of 5 (80%)80%
FC Cartagena B scored in 4 of 5 away · Deportivo Maritimo conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · FC Cartagena B: only games against sides at Deportivo Maritimo's level · Deportivo Maritimo: only games against sides at FC Cartagena B's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DEP 5 of 7 (71%) · FCC 7 of 8 (88%)79.5%
Deportivo Maritimo's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Cartagena B's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Deportivo Maritimo: only games against sides at FC Cartagena B's level · FC Cartagena B: only games against sides at Deportivo Maritimo's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 8.5%
Deportivo Maritimo goals →
FC Cartagena B goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10
DEPORTIVO MARITIMOLLWWLLLWLW1.20 PPG
FC CARTAGENA BDDLLLDDWLW1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
DEPORTIVO MARITIMO HOMExFC CARTAGENA B AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.101.50CONCEDED A GAME1.4010%CLEAN SHEETS30%3.29CORNERS A GAME4.753.43CARDS A GAME3.50
TRENDS
Deportivo Maritimo have scored in 50% of their games.
FC Cartagena B have scored in 70% of their games.
Deportivo Maritimo kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
FC Cartagena B kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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