Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 13. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Bullas Deportivo have won one, drawn two and lost three of their last six league games, 0.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L D W. Olimpico Totana have won two, drawn two and lost two of their last six league games, 1.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W D W L.
The numbers. Bullas Deportivo score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game over their last six, with two clean sheets. Bullas Deportivo average 9.7 shots (3.3 on target), 4.7 corners and 0.7 cards a game. Olimpico Totana score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game over their last six, with two clean sheets. Olimpico Totana average 9.2 shots (4.1 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Bullas Deportivo 1-2 Olimpico Totana (8% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Olimpico Totana the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).