SMSCM

17:00Sun 25 Oct

GDB

SC Maria da Fonte vs GD Braganca

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.

Form. SC Maria da Fonte have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W. GD Braganca have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W.

The numbers. SC Maria da Fonte score 0.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. SC Maria da Fonte average 9.1 shots (2.3 on target), 5.6 corners and 3.1 cards a game. GD Braganca score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. GD Braganca average 10.5 shots (4.3 on target), 3.0 corners and 3.4 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%.

The case against. SC Maria da Fonte's record still gives them 24% to win.

The read. GD Braganca to win. Their goals for and against make GD Braganca the likelier winners; GD Braganca are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour GD Braganca.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: SC Maria da Fonte 0-2 GD Braganca (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SCM 5 of 5 (100%) · GDB 7 of 7 (100%)100%

SC Maria da Fonte: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · GD Braganca: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · SC Maria da Fonte: only games against sides at GD Braganca's level · GD Braganca: only games against sides at SC Maria da Fonte's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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SCM 5 of 5 (100%) · GDB 6 of 7 (86%)92.9%

SC Maria da Fonte: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · GD Braganca: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · SC Maria da Fonte: only games against sides at GD Braganca's level · GD Braganca: only games against sides at SC Maria da Fonte's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SCM 5 of 5 (100%) · GDB 6 of 7 (86%)92.9%

SC Maria da Fonte: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · GD Braganca: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · SC Maria da Fonte: only games against sides at GD Braganca's level · GD Braganca: only games against sides at SC Maria da Fonte's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.25

SCM 4 of 5 (80%) · GDB 6 of 7 (86%)82.9%

SC Maria da Fonte: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · GD Braganca: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · SC Maria da Fonte: only games against sides at GD Braganca's level · GD Braganca: only games against sides at SC Maria da Fonte's level

GD BRAGANCA GOALS

GD Braganca Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

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SCM 4 of 7 (57%) · GDB 4 of 5 (80%)68.6%

GD Braganca scored in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SC Maria da Fonte conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · GD Braganca: only games against sides at SC Maria da Fonte's level · SC Maria da Fonte: only games against sides at GD Braganca's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SCM 3 of 5 (60%) · GDB 6 of 7 (86%)72.9%

SC Maria da Fonte's games: over 3.5 cards in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · GD Braganca's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · SC Maria da Fonte: only games against sides at GD Braganca's level · GD Braganca: only games against sides at SC Maria da Fonte's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–2 11.2%

SC Maria da Fonte goals →

GD Braganca goals ↓

0-06%

1-04%

2-02%

3-00.7%

4-00.1%

5-00.0%

0-111%

1-111%

2-14%

3-11%

4-10.3%

5-10.1%

0-211%

1-210%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.1%

0-37%

1-37%

2-33%

3-30.9%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-44%

1-43%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-51%

1-51%

2-50.6%

3-50.2%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

SC MARIA DA FONTEWLLWLWLLLD1.00 PPG

GD BRAGANCAWLWDWWWWLL1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SC MARIA DA FONTE HOMExGD BRAGANCA AWAY

0.70SCORED A GAME1.902.00CONCEDED A GAME0.8030%CLEAN SHEETS50%5.57CORNERS A GAME3.003.14CARDS A GAME3.40

TRENDS

SC Maria da Fonte have scored in 70% of their games.

GD Braganca have scored in 70% of their games.

SC Maria da Fonte kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

GD Braganca kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards