Match details. Bundesliga, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Sudburgenland have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. First Vienna FC 1894 have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L.
The numbers. FC Sudburgenland score 0.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. FC Sudburgenland average 3.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game. First Vienna FC 1894 score 1.3 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. First Vienna FC 1894 average 7.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 76% against the records' 42%.
The read. No firm call: First Vienna FC 1894 are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make First Vienna FC 1894 the likelier winners; First Vienna FC 1894 are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Sudburgenland 1-2 First Vienna FC 1894 (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (First Vienna FC 1894 the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. First Vienna FC 1894 in their last cup games: won 4-0 at Austria Salzburg. Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).