SPAIN AMATEUR - TERCERA FEDERACION, GROUP 16

CVCDV

12:00Sun 25 Oct

CDA

CD Varea vs CD Alfaro

CLASS E

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

DOUBLE CHANCE

Class E

CVv

Double Chance: Draw or CD Alfaro

CD Varea v CD Alfaro

Spain Amateur - Tercera… · 12:00

1.40odds

71%book

+3edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 16. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.

Form. CD Varea have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D. CD Alfaro have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L.

The numbers. CD Varea score 0.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Varea average 10.8 shots (3.2 on target), 4.5 corners and 4.2 cards a game. CD Alfaro score 1.3 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Alfaro average 10.0 corners and 5.0 cards a game.

The case against. CD Varea's record still gives them 26% to win.

The read. CD Alfaro to win. A tight game. CD Alfaro are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Alfaro. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.

The bets. Best bet: Draw or CD Alfaro at 1.40, 74% on the records (CD Alfaro unbeaten in 6 of 7; CD Varea failed to win 3 of 5 at home). The safer one: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.18 (93%). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CD Alfaro Over 0.5 goals (CD Varea's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); CD Alfaro to Win (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Varea 0-1 CD Alfaro (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

CD Alfaro or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDV 5 of 7 (71%) · CDA 5 of 5 (100%)85.7%

CD Alfaro: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CD Varea: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 86% · CD Alfaro: only games against sides at CD Varea's level · CD Varea: only games against sides at CD Alfaro's level

Double Chance: Draw or CD AlfaroMAININ CODES

1.40

CDV 6 of 7 (86%) · CDA 3 of 5 (60%)74.5%

CD Alfaro unbeaten in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CD Varea failed to win 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 78% · CD Alfaro: only games against sides at CD Varea's level · CD Varea: only games against sides at CD Alfaro's level

CD Alfaro (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.87

CDV 5 of 6 (83%) · CDA 2 of 5 (40%)61.7%

CD Alfaro won 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · CD Varea lost 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 62% · CD Alfaro: only games against sides at CD Varea's level · CD Varea: only games against sides at CD Alfaro's level · won 4, refunded 2, lost 3

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDV 5 of 5 (100%) · CDA 7 of 7 (100%)100%

CD Varea: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CD Alfaro: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CD Varea: only games against sides at CD Alfaro's level · CD Alfaro: only games against sides at CD Varea's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDV 5 of 5 (100%) · CDA 7 of 7 (100%)100%

CD Varea: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CD Alfaro: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CD Varea: only games against sides at CD Alfaro's level · CD Alfaro: only games against sides at CD Varea's level

Under 3.5 GoalsSAFERIN CODES

1.18

CDV 5 of 5 (100%) · CDA 6 of 7 (86%)92.9%

CD Varea: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CD Alfaro: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · CD Varea: only games against sides at CD Alfaro's level · CD Alfaro: only games against sides at CD Varea's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.51

CDV 5 of 5 (100%) · CDA 2 of 7 (29%)64.3%

CD Varea: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CD Alfaro: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · CD Varea: only games against sides at CD Alfaro's level · CD Alfaro: only games against sides at CD Varea's level

Left off the list: CD Alfaro Over 0.5 goals (CD Varea's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); CD Alfaro to Win (the numbers (38%) and the records (52%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 14.4%

CD Varea goals →

CD Alfaro goals ↓

0-015%

1-012%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-114%

1-114%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.4%

5-10.1%

0-28%

1-27%

2-23%

3-20.9%

4-20.2%

5-20.0%

0-33%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.3%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-40.7%

1-40.6%

2-40.3%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CD VAREALDLDDDWDWW1.40 PPG

CD ALFAROWLLDWLWWWW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD VAREA HOMExCD ALFARO AWAY

0.60SCORED A GAME1.300.60CONCEDED A GAME1.1050%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.50CORNERS A GAME10.004.00CARDS A GAME5.00

TRENDS

CD Varea have scored in 60% of their games.

CD Alfaro have scored in 80% of their games.

CD Varea kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

CD Alfaro kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards