Match details. Serie D, Group C. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Unione La Rocca Altavilla have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L. Luparense FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D.
The numbers. Unione La Rocca Altavilla score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Luparense FC score 1.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Luparense FC average 4.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The read. Luparense FC to win. Luparense FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Luparense FC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Luparense FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Unione La Rocca Altavilla 0-1 Luparense FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).