ALACL

14:30Sun 25 Oct

ACC

AC Leon vs AC Chievo Verona

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group B. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.

Form. AC Leon have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. AC Chievo Verona have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L.

The numbers. AC Leon score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. AC Leon average 10.8 shots (4.2 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game. AC Chievo Verona score 1.9 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. AC Chievo Verona average 9.2 shots (2.4 on target), 4.6 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: AC Leon 1-1 AC Chievo Verona (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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ACL 8 of 8 (100%) · ACC 7 of 8 (88%)94.5%

AC Leon: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Chievo Verona: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · AC Leon: only games against sides at AC Chievo Verona's level · AC Chievo Verona: only games against sides at AC Leon's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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ACL 8 of 8 (100%) · ACC 8 of 8 (100%)92.5%

AC Leon: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Chievo Verona: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · AC Leon: only games against sides at AC Chievo Verona's level · AC Chievo Verona: only games against sides at AC Leon's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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ACL 8 of 8 (100%) · ACC 6 of 8 (75%)86.7%

AC Leon: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Chievo Verona: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · AC Leon: only games against sides at AC Chievo Verona's level · AC Chievo Verona: only games against sides at AC Leon's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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ACL 8 of 8 (100%) · ACC 7 of 8 (88%)75.3%

AC Leon: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Chievo Verona: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · AC Leon: only games against sides at AC Chievo Verona's level · AC Chievo Verona: only games against sides at AC Leon's level

AC CHIEVO VERONA GOALS

AC Chievo Verona Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

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ACL 7 of 8 (88%) · ACC 6 of 8 (75%)69.4%

AC Chievo Verona scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Leon conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · AC Chievo Verona: only games against sides at AC Leon's level · AC Leon: only games against sides at AC Chievo Verona's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.9%

AC Leon goals →

AC Chievo Verona goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

AC LEONDWDDDLWWWW1.90 PPG

AC CHIEVO VERONAWWWWWLWLDL1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AC LEON HOMExAC CHIEVO VERONA AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME1.900.90CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS30%6.25CORNERS A GAME4.602.00CARDS A GAME3.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.71POINTS A GAME2.17+0.71GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.17–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.07LEAGUE GAMES6

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

47%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AC LEON OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

AC CHIEVO VERONA OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AC LEONxAC CHIEVO VERONA

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME2.401.20CONCEDED A GAME1.203.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

AC Leon have scored in 100% of their games.

AC Chievo Verona have scored in 90% of their games.

AC Leon kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

AC Chievo Verona kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards