Match details. Serie D, Group A. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. AC Bra have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L D. HSL Derthona have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D W.
The numbers. AC Bra score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AC Bra average 11.8 shots (3.8 on target), 6.2 corners and 3.8 cards a game. HSL Derthona score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. HSL Derthona average 9.0 shots (5.0 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: HSL Derthona or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); HSL Derthona or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AC Bra 1-1 HSL Derthona (14% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACB 8 of 8 (100%) · HSL 8 of 9 (89%)96.2%
AC Bra: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · HSL Derthona: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · AC Bra: only games against sides at HSL Derthona's level · HSL Derthona: only games against sides at AC Bra's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACB 8 of 8 (100%) · HSL 7 of 9 (78%)89.9%
AC Bra: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · HSL Derthona: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · AC Bra: only games against sides at HSL Derthona's level · HSL Derthona: only games against sides at AC Bra's level
AC BRA GOALS
AC Bra Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACB 5 of 8 (62%) · HSL 6 of 9 (67%)73.6%
AC Bra scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · HSL Derthona conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · AC Bra: only games against sides at HSL Derthona's level · HSL Derthona: only games against sides at AC Bra's level
HSL DERTHONA GOALS
HSL Derthona Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACB 8 of 9 (89%) · HSL 7 of 8 (88%)66.9%
HSL Derthona scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Bra conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · HSL Derthona: only games against sides at AC Bra's level · AC Bra: only games against sides at HSL Derthona's level
Left off the list: HSL Derthona or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); HSL Derthona or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); HSL Derthona or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.6%
AC Bra goals →
HSL Derthona goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-08%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-114%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
AC BRALLDLLDLWDW0.90 PPG
HSL DERTHONADLWDWWDLLD1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AC BRA HOMExHSL DERTHONA AWAY
0.80SCORED A GAME1.201.20CONCEDED A GAME1.4010%CLEAN SHEETS30%6.25CORNERS A GAME6.003.75CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.12POINTS A GAME1.50-0.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.12–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.08LEAGUE GAMES8
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
61%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
26%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
AC BRA OR DRAW
63%
NO · 80/85
HSL DERTHONA OR DRAW
74%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AC BRAxHSL DERTHONA
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.001.20CONCEDED A GAME1.602.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
AC Bra have scored in 60% of their games.
HSL Derthona have scored in 90% of their games.
AC Bra kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
HSL Derthona kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards