Crystal Palace vs Chelsea FC W
Match details. Super League Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Crystal Palace have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W D. Chelsea FC W have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W.
The numbers. Crystal Palace score 1.8 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Crystal Palace average 9.7 shots (4.1 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Chelsea FC W score 2.5 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets. Chelsea FC W average 14.5 shots (6.4 on target), 6.7 corners and 0.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 94% against the records' 57%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The read. No firm call: Chelsea FC W are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Chelsea FC W the likelier winners; Chelsea FC W are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Chelsea FC W.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (Chelsea FC W are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Chelsea FC W are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Crystal Palace 0-2 Chelsea FC W (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).